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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder61%101120
18Warriors39%98109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
43.6
36.4
37
64%
14
3
0
1
0
7
1
13
11-11
100%
10-20
7-13
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
41.5
33.5
28
58%
6
11
7
2
0
7
2
4
7-9
78%
9-18
7-15
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
35.8
27.3
20
63%
12
0
0
0
0
2
8
4
2-2
100%
9-15
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
22.5
27.6
2
25%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
11.4
23.2
4
52%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
34.5
27.3
19
70%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
8-8
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
25.5
16.3
6
58%
7
3
0
0
1
1
3
4
2-5
40%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
10.8
13.4
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
7.6
10.4
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
6.9
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-4
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-1
52%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
3.1
0
0-0
42%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
35.9
37.5
13
35%
3
6
1
2
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
0-4
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
35.6
35.3
19
75%
7
2
3
1
2
4
2
5
5-6
83%
7-10
7-14
70%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
30.5
25.9
23
77%
9
5
2
1
1
0
3
6
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
6-9
67%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
27.4
33.9
15
46%
2
6
2
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
2-7
29%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
9.6
17.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
26.9
24.6
7
60%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
19.9
21.3
3
32%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
19.4
11.6
14
88%
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
14.8
3.2
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
14.1
16.9
9
50%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
6.0
8.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
2.3
0
0-1
39%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.