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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons19%8874
1076ers81%9995
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
37.4
36.1
9
26%
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-13
3-9
23%
40%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
29.9
32.7
16
39%
10
2
1
1
0
0
5
5
4-4
100%
6-19
6-12
32%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
28.9
30.8
11
49%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
41%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
24.9
17.1
6
30%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
16.8
17.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
27.5
20.9
12
68%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
25.3
12.3
3
19%
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
34%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
19.9
20.0
9
57%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
12.2
25.5
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
9.6
21.4
2
35%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
7.7
2.2
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
11.4
0
1-3
43%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
3.9
0
1-1
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.6
36.0
33.5
13
57%
4
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
34.6
31.5
10
63%
10
10
1
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
27.9
29.8
12
75%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
4-6
67%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
27.6
24.9
14
59%
4
3
1
1
3
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
14.2
11.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
24.8
24.5
17
60%
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
4-5
80%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
3-4
75%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
23.9
18.5
7
54%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
22.8
24.0
12
68%
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-2
0%
6-8
3-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
18.2
25.0
8
36%
2
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.9
4.4
2.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.2
2.9
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
2.9
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
7.2
0
1-2
52%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.