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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards51%94102
30Bobcats49%9399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
36.5
23.0
10
63%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
2-3
67%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
36.1
31.7
13
50%
3
10
2
1
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-11
5-12
36%
44%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
33.9
24.8
22
63%
10
2
1
1
5
2
2
8
4-8
50%
9-14
4-8
64%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
27.4
30.9
21
66%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
47%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
26.1
19.0
2
23%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
20.6
19.3
12
47%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
2-5
40%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
18.8
16.6
14
104%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.8
11.9
15.2
2
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.2
11.5
16.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
9.1
10.2
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
8.0
22.5
4
40%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
0.2
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
42.9
32.2
20
51%
10
11
1
1
2
4
3
7
2-4
50%
6-14
4-10
43%
42%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
41.0
22.2
21
68%
3
10
1
1
0
3
2
1
6-10
60%
6-9
2-4
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
39.7
23.8
13
43%
4
1
3
1
1
2
0
4
4-5
80%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
1-3
33%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
34.6
29.3
13
50%
10
2
0
1
0
4
4
6
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
16.7
10.0
1
9%
8
4
2
0
0
0
4
4
1-4
25%
0-4
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.0
31.3
20.4
23
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
10-16
4-8
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
17.9
27.9
4
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
9.1
16.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
6.8
14.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
25.8
1
4-9
48%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
10.5
0
1-2
46%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
7.8
0
1-3
52%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
6.1
0
0-1
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.