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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers61%9789
17Bucks39%94100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
42.0
38.0
27
56%
8
9
2
1
0
4
3
5
6-7
86%
9-16
9-19
56%
48%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
38.7
37.8
12
33%
15
5
1
1
1
1
7
8
0-0
-
6-17
6-12
35%
52%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
36.0
33.3
15
59%
9
1
0
1
2
1
2
7
3-6
50%
6-10
6-11
60%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
25.1
28.2
7
70%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
20.7
17.4
4
29%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
22.9
10.4
13
65%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
41%
3-5
60%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
20.5
26.7
4
29%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
15.5
16.1
3
52%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
6.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
5.7
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
5.1
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
0.9
10.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
37.9
16.4
10
65%
6
3
1
1
2
1
2
4
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
35.8
26.7
23
69%
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
8-12
4-10
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
32.3
34.7
12
43%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
43%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
30.9
21.7
11
53%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
21.3
18.4
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
24.8
19.3
15
83%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
22.4
20.3
15
89%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
15.6
15.1
4
40%
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
13.3
8.6
1
9%
4
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
5.7
11.6
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
0.1
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
29.9
1
3-7
44%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.