FinalWin Prob.pScore
340%94
93
160%97
97
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
100.09398.0
MIA logo MIA
102.19590.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI93
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)93
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot93
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
17.5%
95
82.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 293
17.3%
95
82.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
9.7%
95
90.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
16.0%
94
84.0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 293
36.9%
94
63.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 293
23.6%
94
76.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
17.6%
94
82.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 293
20.2%
94
79.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 293
32.8%
94
67.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
39.5%
94
60.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot93
32.6%
94
67.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (34 PTS)93
23.5%
94
76.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot90
6.8%
94
93.2%
Q4 - 1:16CHIBoozer 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)90
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 1:20CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 1:21CHIMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot88
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 1:22CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 1:23CHIMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot88
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 1:24CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHIMISS Hamilton 1' Driving Layup88
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)88
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 1:41CHIBoozer 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)88
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 1:51MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P6.T12)86
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot86
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot86
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot86
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 2:15CHIMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot86
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)86
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)86
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 2:50CHIHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)86
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
7.2%
92
92.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 286
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 3:10CHIGibson 4' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)86
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 3:48CHINoah Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)84
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 3:58CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
13.5%
89
86.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 284
12.8%
89
87.2%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)84
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q4 - 4:11CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
14.4%
88
85.6%
Q4 - 4:19CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
18.3%
88
81.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot84
16.5%
88
83.5%
Q4 - 4:40CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P1.T13)84
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)84
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
26.4%
86
73.6%
Q4 - 5:08CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
28.5%
86
71.5%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJames Foul Turnover (P5.T11)84
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 5:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
26.2%
86
73.8%
Q4 - 5:49CHIMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot84
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)84
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
27.7%
86
72.3%
Q4 - 6:14CHIMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot84
29.7%
86
70.3%
Q4 - 6:19CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 6:20CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)84
29.6%
86
70.4%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)84
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)84
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 6:55CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)84
41.2%
84
58.8%
Q4 - 7:09CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
35.1%
84
64.9%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
33.0%
84
67.0%
Q4 - 7:33CHIRose 10' Floating Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q4 - 7:50MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)80
23.6%
84
76.4%
Q4 - 8:11CHIGibson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)80
29.9%
82
70.1%
Q4 - 8:16CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
24.7%
82
75.3%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot78
23.3%
82
76.7%
Q4 - 8:37CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 8:37CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q4 - 8:58CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
16.3%
82
83.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot76
15.3%
82
84.7%
Q4 - 9:17CHIBoozer 12' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)76
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 9:34CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot74
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
9.4%
82
90.6%
Q4 - 9:54CHIMISS Brewer 12' Jump Shot74
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q4 - 10:03CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot74
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 10:28CHIKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 10:30CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 10:31CHIJames BLOCK (1 BLK)71
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 10:52MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)71
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 11:15CHIAsik Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)71
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI71
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)71
22.7%
76
77.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot71
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHIBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
27.5%
74
72.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHIMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 270
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
27.2%
74
72.8%
Q3 - 1:00MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot70
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q3 - 1:17CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)70
24.0%
74
76.0%
Q3 - 1:31MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q3 - 1:55CHIBrewer 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)68
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 2:04CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup66
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 2:18CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup66
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 2:35CHIHamilton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T11)66
18.0%
72
82.0%
Q3 - 2:46CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot66
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q3 - 3:05CHIHaslem STEAL (2 STL)66
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIAJames 18' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
21.7%
72
78.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
24.7%
70
75.3%
Q3 - 3:37CHIMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot66
25.8%
70
74.2%
Q3 - 3:55CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
28.3%
70
71.7%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
27.2%
70
72.8%
Q3 - 4:20CHIRose 14' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)66
24.8%
70
75.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
22.2%
70
77.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 5:01CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 5:11CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot64
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHEAT Rebound64
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot64
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 5:28CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)64
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 5:28CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
24.7%
68
75.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 4 AST)62
22.4%
68
77.6%
Q3 - 6:02CHINoah 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)62
25.6%
66
74.4%
Q3 - 6:15CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 260
22.4%
66
77.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 6:29CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup60
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)60
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q3 - 6:55CHIHamilton Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)60
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)60
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 7:22CHIRose 10' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS)60
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 7:29CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
20.5%
65
79.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot58
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
18.0%
65
82.0%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot58
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 7:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 7:48CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot58
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
20.8%
65
79.2%
Q3 - 8:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
21.2%
64
78.8%
Q3 - 8:17CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)58
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)58
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 8:42CHIMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot58
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 8:49CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
32.4%
61
67.6%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot58
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 9:06CHIMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot58
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)58
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q3 - 9:33CHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)58
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 9:43MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)58
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 10:01CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)58
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 10:09CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
32.4%
59
67.6%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot56
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 10:33CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
29.1%
59
70.9%
Q3 - 10:33CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q3 - 10:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q3 - 10:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
26.3%
58
73.7%
Q3 - 10:54CHIMISS Brewer 18' Jump Shot54
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q3 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
29.7%
58
70.3%
Q3 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q3 - 11:18CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)54
33.4%
56
66.6%
Q3 - 11:19CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q3 - 11:19CHIMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 254
32.9%
56
67.1%
Q3 - 11:19CHIBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)53
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q3 - 11:42CHIBrewer 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)53
29.5%
56
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI51
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)51
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
25.1%
56
74.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIABosh 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup49
26.3%
54
73.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHIHamilton 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)49
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q2 - 1:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 1:06CHIMISS Hamilton Driving Layup47
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q2 - 1:10CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot47
26.5%
52
73.5%
Q2 - 1:26CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 1:26CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q2 - 1:34CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS James 11' Turnaround Hook Shot45
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q2 - 1:50CHIMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 245
20.9%
52
79.1%
Q2 - 1:50CHIHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 1:53CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 1:54CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup44
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q2 - 2:01CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS James 10' Turnaround Jump Shot44
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 2:15CHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)44
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)44
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q2 - 2:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q2 - 2:30CHIMISS Noah 1' Driving Layup44
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 2:46CHIRose Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)44
25.1%
50
74.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)43
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 3:20CHIGibson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)43
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 241
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q2 - 3:39CHIRose 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 3:41CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 3:42CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)39
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 239
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 4:01CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 239
21.5%
46
78.5%
Q2 - 4:01CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 4:20MIABosh 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)38
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup38
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot38
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 4:40CHIKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 4 AST)38
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 4:46CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot35
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 5:02CHIGibson 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)35
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 5:34CHIKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)33
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 5:38CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:39CHIMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 5:52CHIBulls Rebound30
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:53CHIMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 6:29CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 6:43MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)28
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 7:02CHIMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)28
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 7:29CHIBoozer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)28
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 7:42CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup26
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot26
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 8:19CHIRose 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)24
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 8:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 8:51CHIMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot24
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 9:11MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 9:20CHIGibson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 9:22CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot24
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup24
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 9:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 9:33CHIMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 9:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Korver: Tip to Miller24
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
33.2%
26
66.8%
Q2 - 10:32CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot24
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:54MIAJames 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)24
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup24
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q2 - 11:24CHIBrewer 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)24
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Asik: Tip to Battier22
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q2 - 11:39CHIMISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot22
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot22
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
33.6%
24
66.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMiller 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)20
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHIHamilton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Gibson 8' Jump Shot18
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)18
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)18
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 1:24CHINoah Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)18
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
31.1%
20
68.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:40CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 216
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 1:40CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
31.2%
20
68.8%
Q1 - 1:45CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot15
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 1:57CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers 8' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)13
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 2:41CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 2:46CHIBulls Rebound11
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 2:47CHIMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot11
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 2:50CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 3:15CHINoah 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)11
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:31CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
22.8%
18
77.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup9
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 3:48CHIHamilton 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)9
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:59CHIBulls Rebound7
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 4:08MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 4:09CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot7
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 4:31CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 17
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 4:42CHILucas III Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)7
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)7
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 5:16CHIMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot7
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 5:42MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)7
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 5:49CHIMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot7
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 6:30CHIBrewer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)7
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 6:54MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)5
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 7:00CHIMISS Lucas III 21' Jump Shot5
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 7:27CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)5
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 7:37CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 7:38CHIMISS Noah 1' Layup5
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 7:44CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS James 10' Running Jump Shot5
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 7:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 7:52CHIMISS Boozer 11' Jump Shot5
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 8:04CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot5
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 8:24CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 8:24CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 24
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 8:53CHIRose Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 8:55CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot4
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 9:14CHINoah 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 9:15CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:16CHIMISS Boozer 15' Fadeaway Jumper2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:29CHIBulls Rebound2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:30CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:35CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:36CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 10:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:03CHIMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 10:17CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup2
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:31CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:35CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:59CHIHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 11:12CHIHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot0
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:26CHINoah Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:36MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Noah: Tip to Chalmers0
36.9%
0
63.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.96 47.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
18
30
60%
MIA
13
28
46%
Midrange
CHI
14
40
35%
MIA
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
CHI
20
28
71%
MIA
30
40
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose3450%17.0 / 34
R. Hamilton1131%5.5 / 18
J. Noah1161%5.5 / 9
R. Brewer1050%5.0 / 10
C. Boozer1050%5.0 / 10
K. Korver975%4.5 / 6
T. Gibson867%4.0 / 6
J. Lucas III0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3558%17.5 / 30
C. Bosh2467%12.0 / 18
D. Wade1536%7.5 / 21
M. Chalmers531%2.5 / 8
N. Cole536%2.5 / 7
M. Miller583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem429%2.0 / 7
S. Battier3150%1.5 / 1
J. Anthony125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
78
+15
-15
93
MIA
82
+15
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.96 47.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
106.6
CHI 100.0
MIA 102.1 +2.1
Pace
88.7
91.3
CHI 98.0 +7.6
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.8
CHI 14.7 +1.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.5%
CHI 45.1% +2.2%
MIA 42.9%
TO %
15.1%
15.9%
CHI 13.8%
MIA 12.0% +1.8%
ORB %
32.7%
26.6%
CHI 25.0%
MIA 25.5% +0.5%
FTrt
25.5
30.7
CHI 34.6
MIA 51.3 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
53.8%
CHI 42.9%
MIA 59.4% +16.5%
STL %
7.7%
9.6%
CHI 11.8% +6.5%
MIA 5.3%
BLK %
8.7%
9.0%
CHI 7.1%
MIA 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.5%
CHI 47.9%
MIA 49.5% +1.6%
Rim FG%
57.0%
61.1%
CHI 60.0% +13.6%
MIA 46.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.0%
CHI 35.0%
MIA 38.1% +3.1%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
CHI 27.3%
MIA 37.5% +10.2%
FT %
72.2%
77.5%
CHI 71.4%
MIA 75.0% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
36.7%
CHI 37.0% +1.1%
MIA 35.9%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
43.6%
CHI 49.4% +4.5%
MIA 53.8%
3P Att. %
20.5%
19.8%
CHI 13.6% +3.3%
MIA 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points9397
Rebounds4748
Assists1519
Steals115
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)36 (0)
Field Goals35-8132-78
At-the-Rim FG18-3013-28
Midrange FG14-4016-42
2-Point FG32-7029-70
3-Point FG3-113-8
Free Throws20-2830-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
44.5
34
50%
6
6
1
1
2
3
1
5
12-14
86%
11-24
46%
0-4
0%
G · 6'7" 235 · 27
42.4
10
50%
6
0
3
0
0
4
4
2
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 193 · 34
36.4
11
31%
5
2
3
0
5
4
2
3
3-4
75%
4-15
27%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 27
33.0
11
61%
11
4
1
3
2
6
2
9
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 258 · 30
27.7
10
50%
9
2
2
0
1
6
2
7
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
29.1
8
67%
4
0
0
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 31
17.1
9
75%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-6
50%
C · 7'0" 255 · 26
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 29
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 27
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
F · 6'9" 235 · 34
F · 6'7" 230 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
48%
47
15
11
5
15
0
12
35
20-28
71%
32-70
46%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.