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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers39%91106
9Magic61%9585
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
36.4
33.8
24
57%
2
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-13
4-10
54%
44%
3-7
43%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
34.3
35.3
11
51%
1
10
1
1
0
4
1
0
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
34.0
30.8
16
44%
7
1
1
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
8-17
5-11
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.1
21.8
29.2
7
41%
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
20.4
30.6
6
60%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
2-3
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.7
25.4
22.2
16
78%
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.2
20.8
22.6
7
54%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.1
16.1
9.4
8
100%
5
0
2
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
15.1
13.4
5
64%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.4
9.0
5.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.3
3.4
2.3
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
3.4
1.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
4.4
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
39.3
34.1
24
61%
13
1
1
1
2
5
3
10
4-15
27%
10-12
7-12
83%
58%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
33.3
21.1
14
70%
3
5
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
2-5
40%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
33.3
29.6
7
39%
1
7
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
27.7
27.9
11
62%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
27.2
25.1
13
55%
7
3
2
1
1
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
24.1
20.8
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
21.4
23.2
9
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
16.0
5.4
1
27%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
9.5
17.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
4.9
14.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
3.4
7.9
4
72%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
1.9
0
0-0
45%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.