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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers54%97106
22Timberwolves46%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
41.8
39.5
35
59%
14
2
0
1
2
3
3
11
2-2
100%
9-20
9-19
45%
48%
5-9
56%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
41.8
37.8
28
79%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
11-15
6-13
73%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
36.0
34.5
21
61%
7
2
0
1
1
4
1
6
5-7
71%
8-14
6-11
57%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
33.3
23.2
2
17%
4
3
0
1
2
2
1
3
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
33.2
26.5
5
43%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
14.8
16.2
7
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
13.6
19.2
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
13.1
7.0
6
100%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
7.8
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
4.8
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
7.0
0
1-2
44%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
6.3
0
0-1
42%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
3.9
0
0-1
41%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.3
41.7
39.3
5
18%
4
8
0
2
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-10
4-9
20%
43%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
41.3
38.2
33
65%
13
2
1
1
0
0
7
6
6-8
75%
12-18
6-12
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
24.6
26.9
4
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.1
19.5
22.3
13
70%
9
0
0
1
1
2
7
2
3-3
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
14.6
20.7
4
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
30.0
14.6
18
57%
12
3
2
0
1
1
3
9
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
22.8
7.5
10
31%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-9
1-1
22%
44%
2-6
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
16.7
6.9
9
57%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
1-2
50%
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
10.7
25.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
10.0
22.0
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.8
8.2
3.7
3
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.6
13.5
0
2-4
47%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
10.4
0
0-1
47%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.