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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic34%8969
976ers66%9574
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
36.8
35.9
17
37%
11
0
1
1
2
2
3
8
5-13
38%
6-17
7-12
35%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
35.1
25.3
3
38%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
31.2
22.8
10
37%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
0-8
2-4
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
26.8
27.9
14
47%
20
0
0
1
0
1
11
9
2-4
50%
6-9
2-5
67%
44%
0-4
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
26.1
30.8
3
15%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
21.6
14.7
5
63%
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
19.8
21.9
5
42%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
17.1
6.7
8
44%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
12.9
9.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
36%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
12.6
11.2
2
53%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
41.8
32.2
14
47%
11
6
2
1
0
2
2
9
3-9
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
30.5
25.6
8
40%
7
1
2
1
4
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.6
29.9
33.8
6
27%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
24.0
28.7
7
51%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
17.1
12.4
8
68%
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
30.9
22.7
10
38%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-13
5-9
38%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
25.1
24.5
9
35%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
1-5
20%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
23.9
23.3
12
62%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
16.8
19.9
0
0%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
9.4
0
1-3
51%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.2
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.9
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.