Final Win Prob. pScore
2414%85
95
186%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
105.69088.2
MIA logo Heat
122.58990.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH95
109
Q4 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound95
109
Q4 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Vasquez 13' Jump Shot95
109
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHHornets Rebound95
109
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Vasquez 15' Jump Shot95
109
Q4 - 0:13.0NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
109
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot95
109
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHVasquez 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
109
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
109
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot93
109
Q4 - 1:02NOHC. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)93
109
Q4 - 1:10NOHSummers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)93
109
Q4 - 1:21MIACurry 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)90
109
Q4 - 1:44NOHAminu 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (C. Johnson 2 AST)90
107
Q4 - 1:48MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)88
107
Q4 - 1:54NOHSummers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
107
Q4 - 1:54NOHSummers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
107
Q4 - 1:54MIACurry S.FOUL (P3.T4)86
107
Q4 - 2:03NOHHornets Rebound86
107
Q4 - 2:03NOHMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
107
Q4 - 2:09MIAHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)86
107
Q4 - 2:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
107
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 186
107
Q4 - 2:21MIACurry S.FOUL (P2.T3)86
107
Q4 - 2:21NOHVasquez 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)86
107
Q4 - 2:30NOHAyon Violation:Defensive Goaltending84
107
Q4 - 2:36MIACurry 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
107
Q4 - 2:36MIACurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
105
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Curry 4' Jump Hook Shot84
105
Q4 - 2:51NOHAminu 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)84
105
Q4 - 3:11MIACurry Foul Turnover (P1.T13)82
105
Q4 - 3:11MIACurry Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)82
105
Q4 - 3:30NOHSummers 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (C. Johnson 1 AST)82
105
Q4 - 3:38NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
105
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup80
105
Q4 - 3:44MIASUB: Jones FOR Miller80
105
Q4 - 4:00NOHSUB: C. Johnson FOR Henry80
105
Q4 - 4:00MIASUB: Curry FOR Haslem80
105
Q4 - 4:00MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh80
105
Q4 - 4:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)80
105
Q4 - 4:01NOHVasquez 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)80
105
Q4 - 4:19MIACole 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
105
Q4 - 4:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
103
Q4 - 4:25NOHMISS Henry 3' Driving Layup78
103
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)78
103
Q4 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
101
Q4 - 4:59NOHMISS Aminu 4' Driving Layup78
101
Q4 - 5:21MIAMiller 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)78
101
Q4 - 5:23MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
99
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot78
99
Q4 - 5:40NOHAyon 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)78
99
Q4 - 6:00NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Landry76
99
Q4 - 6:00NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)76
99
Q4 - 6:00MIABosh 1' Dunk (10 PTS)76
99
Q4 - 6:04NOHBosh STEAL (2 STL)76
97
Q4 - 6:08NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
97
Q4 - 6:10NOHBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)76
97
Q4 - 6:23NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
97
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot76
97
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
97
Q4 - 6:46NOHBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)76
97
Q4 - 6:51MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
97
Q4 - 7:01NOHVasquez P.FOUL (P2.T2)76
97
Q4 - 7:20NOHLandry 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
97
Q4 - 7:39MIAMiller 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)74
97
Q4 - 8:03NOHVasquez 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
95
Q4 - 8:25MIACole 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
95
Q4 - 8:4772
93
Q4 - 8:47NOHHenry Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
93
Q4 - 8:47NOHHenry Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T1)72
93
Q4 - 9:01MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS)72
93
Q4 - 9:22NOHSUB: Summers FOR Aminu72
91
Q4 - 9:22NOHLandry Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)72
91
Q4 - 9:25NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
91
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Battier 12' Jump Shot72
91
Q4 - 9:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
91
Q4 - 9:37NOHMISS Aminu 11' Jump Shot72
91
Q4 - 9:54MIAMiller P.FOUL (P3.T1)72
91
Q4 - 9:59NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
91
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot72
91
Q4 - 10:16NOHAyon 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)72
91
Q4 - 10:42MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)70
91
Q4 - 10:53MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
89
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Henry 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
89
Q4 - 11:06NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
89
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
89
Q4 - 11:24NOHLandry 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
89
Q4 - 11:45MIAMiller 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)68
89
Q4 - 12:0068
87
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH68
87
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)68
87
Q3 - 0:32.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
87
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Jack 9' Running Jump Shot68
87
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)68
87
Q3 - 1:08NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
84
Q3 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
84
Q3 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
83
Q3 - 1:25NOHLandry S.FOUL (P1.T4)66
82
Q3 - 1:44NOHAminu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
82
Q3 - 1:57MIACole 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)66
82
Q3 - 2:08NOHVasquez P.FOUL (P1.T3)66
80
Q3 - 2:23MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers66
80
Q3 - 2:23MIASUB: Miller FOR Anthony66
80
Q3 - 2:23NOHSUB: Landry FOR Smith66
80
Q3 - 2:23NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
80
Q3 - 2:23NOHHornets Rebound65
80
Q3 - 2:23NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 265
80
Q3 - 2:23MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.PN)65
80
Q3 - 2:47NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Okafor65
80
Q3 - 2:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)65
80
Q3 - 2:47NOHSmith S.FOUL (P4.T2)65
79
Q3 - 2:47MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)65
79
Q3 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)65
77
Q3 - 2:52NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
77
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)65
77
Q3 - 3:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
75
Q3 - 3:18NOHMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot65
75
Q3 - 3:42MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh65
75
Q3 - 3:42MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade65
75
Q3 - 3:42NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Belinelli65
75
Q3 - 3:42NOHHornets Rebound65
75
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
75
Q3 - 3:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
75
Q3 - 4:01NOHMISS Jack 6' Jump Shot65
75
Q3 - 4:24MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 7 AST)65
75
Q3 - 4:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
73
Q3 - 4:30NOHMISS Belinelli 3' Driving Layup65
73
Q3 - 4:34NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
73
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot65
73
Q3 - 4:49NOHSmith 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ariza 7 AST)65
73
Q3 - 5:09MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)63
73
Q3 - 5:25NOHOkafor 2' Layup (13 PTS)63
70
Q3 - 5:27NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
70
Q3 - 5:29NOHMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup61
70
Q3 - 5:45MIAAnthony 10' Hook Shot (8 PTS)61
70
Q3 - 5:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
68
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Hook Shot61
68
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
68
Q3 - 6:05NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 6:10NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
68
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Bosh 3' Dunk61
68
Q3 - 6:25NOHAriza P.FOUL (P3.T1)61
68
Q3 - 6:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
68
Q3 - 6:35NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 6:35NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
68
Q3 - 6:35MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.PN)59
68
Q3 - 6:40NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
68
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound59
68
Q3 - 7:04NOHMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 7:20MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
68
Q3 - 7:38NOHOkafor 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 6 AST)59
65
Q3 - 7:58MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T4)57
65
Q3 - 8:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
65
Q3 - 8:09NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
65
Q3 - 8:09MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)56
65
Q3 - 8:09NOHJack 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
65
Q3 - 8:26MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
65
Q3 - 8:43NOHAriza 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 8:56MIAAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)52
62
Q3 - 9:03NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
62
Q3 - 9:03NOHHornets Rebound51
62
Q3 - 9:03NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 251
62
Q3 - 9:03MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)51
62
Q3 - 9:22MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
62
Q3 - 9:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
60
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 9:41NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
60
Q3 - 9:52MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Jack: Tip to Smith49
60
Q3 - 10:03MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
60
Q3 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
57
Q3 - 10:17NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 249
57
Q3 - 10:17NOHHornets Rebound49
57
Q3 - 10:17NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 249
57
Q3 - 10:17MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)49
57
Q3 - 10:35MIAJames 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
57
Q3 - 10:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
55
Q3 - 10:43NOHMISS Belinelli 13' Fadeaway Jumper49
55
Q3 - 11:04NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)49
55
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade 2' Layup (20 PTS)49
55
Q3 - 11:09NOHJames STEAL (1 STL)49
53
Q3 - 11:35MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)49
53
Q3 - 11:41NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)49
51
Q3 - 12:0049
51
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH49
51
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound49
51
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
51
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
51
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Belinelli49
50
Q2 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh49
50
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
50
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 249
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)49
50
Q2 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Anthony49
50
Q2 - 0:21.0NOHSUB: Landry FOR Okafor49
50
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)49
50
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
50
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot49
50
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
50
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)49
50
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)49
50
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
48
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot49
48
Q2 - 1:09MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh49
48
Q2 - 1:09NOHSUB: Smith FOR Landry49
48
Q2 - 1:09NOHHornets Rebound49
48
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk49
48
Q2 - 1:16NOHWade STEAL (2 STL)49
48
Q2 - 1:30NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
48
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot49
48
Q2 - 1:51NOHLandry 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)49
48
Q2 - 2:10MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
48
Q2 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
46
Q2 - 2:19NOHMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot47
46
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
46
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
45
Q2 - 2:41NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Aminu47
44
Q2 - 2:4147
44
Q2 - 2:41NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P2.PN)47
44
Q2 - 2:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
44
Q2 - 2:49NOHMISS Aminu 22' Jump Shot47
44
Q2 - 3:03MIASUB: Bosh FOR Anthony47
44
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)47
44
Q2 - 3:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
42
Q2 - 3:26NOHMISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot47
42
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
42
Q2 - 3:48NOHAminu S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
41
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 3:57NOHAriza P.FOUL (P2.T3)47
39
Q2 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
39
Q2 - 4:02NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 147
39
Q2 - 4:02MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
39
Q2 - 4:02NOHLandry 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
39
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
39
Q2 - 4:34NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Henry45
37
Q2 - 4:34MIAHEAT Rebound45
37
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot45
37
Q2 - 4:48NOHSUB: Jack FOR Vasquez45
37
Q2 - 4:48NOHLandry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
37
Q2 - 5:03MIAJames 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
37
Q2 - 5:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
35
Q2 - 5:15NOHMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
35
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
35
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
34
Q2 - 5:34NOHHenry S.FOUL (P1.T2)45
33
Q2 - 5:44NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Aminu45
33
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole45
33
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: James FOR Bosh45
33
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
33
Q2 - 5:46NOHHenry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)45
33
Q2 - 5:55MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
33
Q2 - 6:09NOHOkafor 8' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)42
33
Q2 - 6:30MIACole 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)40
33
Q2 - 6:50NOHAminu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
31
Q2 - 6:54MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
31
Q2 - 6:58NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)38
31
Q2 - 7:20MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)38
31
Q2 - 7:36NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
29
Q2 - 7:36NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Ayon37
29
Q2 - 7:36MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem37
29
Q2 - 7:36MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
29
Q2 - 7:36NOHVasquez 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 7:49MIASUB: Wade FOR Miller35
29
Q2 - 7:49NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
29
Q2 - 7:53NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup35
29
Q2 - 8:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 8:06NOHMISS Landry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 8:18NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 8:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Aminu 6' Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 8:55NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 8:56NOHMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 9:11MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
29
Q2 - 9:11MIABosh Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2)35
29
Q2 - 9:22NOHAyon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)35
29
Q2 - 9:48MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
29
Q2 - 9:58NOHLandry 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)33
27
Q2 - 10:14MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)31
27
Q2 - 10:26NOHAyon P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
27
Q2 - 10:27MIAHEAT Rebound31
27
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Miller Free Throw Technical31
27
Q2 - 10:27NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Landry )31
27
Q2 - 10:45NOHHenry Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
27
Q2 - 10:58NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
27
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Miller 29' 3PT Jump Shot31
27
Q2 - 11:31NOHAyon 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)31
27
Q2 - 11:40NOHSUB: Henry FOR Ariza29
27
Q2 - 11:40NOHHornets Rebound29
27
Q2 - 11:40NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw Technical29
27
Q2 - 11:40MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )29
27
Q2 - 11:47MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.T1)29
27
Q2 - 12:0029
27
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH29
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACole 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
27
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
25
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
25
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
25
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMiller 3' Layup (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
25
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
23
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Ayon 4' Jump Shot27
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
23
Q1 - 1:08NOHAriza 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)27
20
Q1 - 1:11NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
20
Q1 - 1:14NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup25
20
Q1 - 1:20NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
20
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 1:37NOHSUB: Ayon FOR Okafor25
20
Q1 - 1:37NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Jack25
20
Q1 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound25
20
Q1 - 1:39NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 1:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 1:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
20
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
20
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 2:31NOHLandry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)25
20
Q1 - 2:46MIASUB: Miller FOR Anthony23
20
Q1 - 2:46NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
20
Q1 - 2:51NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
20
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20
Q1 - 3:02NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:23MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 3:23MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers23
19
Q1 - 3:23MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 3:23NOHAriza P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
18
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18
Q1 - 3:41NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup23
18
Q1 - 3:56NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Belinelli23
18
Q1 - 3:56MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade23
18
Q1 - 3:56MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)23
18
Q1 - 3:56NOHHornets Rebound23
18
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot23
18
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
18
Q1 - 4:05NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot23
18
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
18
Q1 - 4:18NOHSUB: Landry FOR Smith23
17
Q1 - 4:18MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh23
17
Q1 - 4:18NOHBelinelli S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
17
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade 16' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
17
Q1 - 4:25NOHOkafor 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)23
15
Q1 - 4:47MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound21
14
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
14
Q1 - 4:47NOHSmith S.FOUL (P2.T4)21
14
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
14
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 5:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
14
Q1 - 5:07NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 221
14
Q1 - 5:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
14
Q1 - 5:18MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
14
Q1 - 5:38NOHBelinelli Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
14
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)20
14
Q1 - 5:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
14
Q1 - 6:05NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)20
14
Q1 - 6:30MIAJames 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)17
14
Q1 - 6:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
12
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot17
12
Q1 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
12
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot17
12
Q1 - 6:57NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)17
12
Q1 - 7:11MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 7:22NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)15
10
Q1 - 7:30NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 215
10
Q1 - 7:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 7:31NOHSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
9
Q1 - 7:42NOHBelinelli 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
9
Q1 - 7:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
9
Q1 - 7:49NOHBelinelli S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
8
Q1 - 7:49MIAAnthony 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 7:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
6
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot13
6
Q1 - 8:04NOHJack 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
6
Q1 - 8:18MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
6
Q1 - 8:24NOHBosh STEAL (1 STL)11
4
Q1 - 8:37MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
4
Q1 - 8:58NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)11
4
Q1 - 9:05MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound8
2
Q1 - 9:31NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:40NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 10:09NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)8
2
Q1 - 10:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 10:35NOHSmith 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:40NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:57NOHOkafor 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:13NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:31NOHAriza 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:46NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Okafor: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
15
24
63%
MIA
23
33
70%
Midrange
NOH
21
38
55%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
NOH
11
19
58%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jack1454%7.0 / 13
C. Landry1478%7.0 / 9
E. Okafor1381%6.5 / 8
G. Vasquez1161%5.5 / 9
T. Ariza938%4.5 / 12
G. Ayon867%4.0 / 6
D. Summers7117%3.5 / 3
A. Aminu643%3.0 / 7
M. Belinelli536%2.5 / 7
J. Smith563%2.5 / 4
X. Henry338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
M. Miller1488%7.0 / 8
C. Bosh1246%6.0 / 13
N. Cole1250%6.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1179%5.5 / 7
J. Anthony8100%4.0 / 4
E. Curry467%2.0 / 3
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
77
+8
-13
85
MIA
74
+12
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
106.6
NOH 105.6
MIA 122.5 +16.9
Pace
88.4
91.3
NOH 88.2
MIA 90.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.8
NOH 16.3
MIA 15.8 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
50.5%
NOH 56.0%
MIA 59.0% +3.0%
TO %
16.5%
15.9%
NOH 13.5% −1.2%
MIA 14.7%
ORB %
27.6%
26.6%
NOH 12.5%
MIA 34.4% +21.9%
FTrt
27.4
30.7
NOH 25.3
MIA 26.9 +1.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
53.8%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 53.5% +3.5%
STL %
8.3%
9.6%
NOH 10.0% +3.3%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
8.2%
9.0%
NOH 1.6%
MIA 4.8% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
53.5%
NOH 55.2%
MIA 63.4% +8.2%
Rim FG%
56.0%
61.1%
NOH 62.5%
MIA 69.7% +7.2%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.0%
NOH 55.3% +8.6%
MIA 46.7%
3P %
33.3%
35.9%
NOH 30.8%
MIA 40.0% +9.2%
FT %
75.7%
77.5%
NOH 57.9%
MIA 81.0% +23.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
36.7%
NOH 32.0%
MIA 42.3% +10.3%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
43.6%
NOH 50.7%
MIA 38.5% −12.2%
3P Att. %
15.2%
19.8%
NOH 17.3%
MIA 19.2% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points95109
Rebounds2539
Assists2023
Steals96
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals40-7543-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2423-33
Midrange FG21-3814-30
2-Point FG36-6237-63
3-Point FG4-136-15
Free Throws11-1917-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
30.1
9
38%
3
7
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
27.2
14
54%
0
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
26.9
13
81%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
19.0
5
36%
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
5
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 240 · 26
18.5
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 217 · 25
24.6
11
61%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 248 · 28
23.9
14
78%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
23.5
6
43%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 250 · 27
18.0
8
67%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21
15.1
3
38%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
9.4
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G · 5'10" 180 · 29
4.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
#10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
25
20
9
1
13
0
4
21
11-19
58%
36-62
58%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.