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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Spurs38%9483
10Grizzlies62%9873
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
39.4
30.5
5
26%
5
12
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-9
6-13
22%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
36.9
29.0
13
50%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
3-8
38%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.8
31.8
24.8
14
51%
6
4
0
0
2
3
0
6
4-4
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
31.7
22.3
12
52%
10
1
2
1
1
1
4
6
0-1
0%
6-11
2-5
55%
45%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.8
14.5
21.0
9
57%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
30.6
22.6
11
45%
4
1
4
1
0
3
3
1
3-5
60%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
23.5
23.1
15
75%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
5-9
56%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
14.9
22.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.1
14.6
23.6
4
41%
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.9
1.7
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
0.4
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
37.0
34.9
15
48%
2
3
0
2
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
2-3
67%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
35.0
38.4
7
29%
12
0
0
1
1
3
3
9
1-2
50%
3-11
6-11
27%
54%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
34.6
38.5
1
6%
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
0-7
7-14
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
22.4
17.2
10
64%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
20.5
25.3
9
48%
1
1
4
2
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
25.3
7.5
6
38%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
24.6
27.2
17
69%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-8
3-7
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
13.4
9.5
6
75%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
8.5
17.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
8.0
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
6.0
2.8
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
3.2
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
1.6
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.