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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves30%97120
13Rockets70%104108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.3
37.8
39.6
18
77%
8
11
1
2
0
3
0
8
4-4
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
41%
2-3
67%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
35.7
39.0
29
78%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
7-8
88%
8-11
6-13
73%
47%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
35.0
26.2
11
48%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
47%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
20.3
18.5
4
29%
3
0
1
0
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.1
18.8
21.0
8
67%
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
32.5
21.6
34
88%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
12-12
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
45%
2-3
67%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
22.2
15.8
7
79%
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
14.2
11.2
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
9.6
19.8
4
46%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
6.8
17.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
5.5
7.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.8
1.7
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.6
9.8
0
1-3
46%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
34.0
34.5
29
73%
2
1
3
1
0
3
1
1
7-11
64%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
4-6
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
33.0
26.1
9
41%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
3-9
3-5
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
27.9
24.3
6
51%
8
1
1
0
4
1
4
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
25.6
32.0
11
53%
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
20.1
26.0
8
38%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
2-8
6-11
25%
51%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
23.8
23.7
7
30%
2
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-4
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
21.8
26.8
9
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
20.5
18.1
13
66%
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
20.3
19.2
8
80%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
13.1
15.1
8
67%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
5.5
0
1-1
43%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.0
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.