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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers58%10089
20Jazz42%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
39.9
29.2
9
57%
9
4
1
1
1
1
2
7
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
39.1
33.2
25
57%
7
1
1
1
2
1
2
5
3-4
75%
11-20
8-16
55%
50%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
29.8
28.0
8
39%
4
7
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
27.6
22.4
6
75%
5
2
1
1
4
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
25.0
29.9
6
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-5
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
31.4
24.1
15
76%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
4-5
80%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
24.2
24.8
14
54%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
14.6
15.7
4
67%
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
8.0
13.6
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
0.4
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
5.6
0
1-1
42%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
38.6
33.2
19
51%
15
1
1
1
2
1
3
12
7-8
88%
6-15
7-13
40%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
37.6
15.6
11
35%
7
4
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
4-13
2-5
31%
45%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
28.1
28.5
12
41%
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-6
67%
1-9
3-6
11%
47%
2-3
67%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.5
26.3
18.3
8
59%
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.9
23.0
24.4
13
74%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.6
25.3
21.1
6
75%
5
4
5
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
24.3
21.5
15
45%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
5-8
63%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
0-5
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.7
21.0
13.5
3
17%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
1-2
50%
1-8
2-4
13%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
9.4
4.1
5
64%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.5
6.3
8.0
1
17%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
27.2
1
6-13
49%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
21.2
1
1-2
45%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.9
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.