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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks65%95100
26Raptors35%9077
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
30.3
33.6
30
86%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
10-12
5-10
83%
48%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
28.5
31.2
7
44%
6
2
1
1
2
4
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
6-12
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
26.9
27.9
10
45%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
26.4
27.2
10
83%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
21.6
25.7
10
45%
4
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
21.5
14.5
5
36%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
21.2
17.5
15
86%
4
1
1
1
1
4
0
4
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
19.5
7.6
0
0%
5
1
2
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
17.8
14.0
7
72%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
16.2
19.2
2
17%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
5.1
3.5
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
5.0
5.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
15.1
0
1-2
43%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
34.0
34.4
9
42%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
3-8
5-12
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
31.6
31.6
6
75%
2
9
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
27.4
24.2
9
32%
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
25.9
22.3
14
55%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
13.7
17.3
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
26.0
20.3
11
75%
11
0
1
1
1
2
6
5
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
20.6
23.9
7
35%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
17.0
23.3
4
25%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
16.4
11.7
10
58%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
13.3
11.7
5
43%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.1
9.1
9.8
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
5.0
2.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
6.4
0
0-1
45%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.