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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets57%9997
14Grizzlies43%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
35.8
22.5
8
51%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
34.4
16.7
12
55%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
52%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
33.0
33.3
14
68%
5
2
3
1
1
3
1
4
2-3
67%
6-9
6-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
24.8
33.5
8
32%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
6-6
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
49%
0-4
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
9.9
20.3
1
13%
2
0
0
0
3
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
38.9
34.4
20
64%
6
6
2
1
0
4
3
3
3-6
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
38.3
25.0
23
65%
10
4
2
1
0
4
1
9
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
3-7
43%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
18.9
24.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-4
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.9
12.9
20.7
8
82%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
11.5
6.6
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
6.7
8.3
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
9.0
0
1-2
44%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
50.2
36.7
20
52%
13
1
2
1
3
1
3
10
10-14
71%
5-13
6-11
38%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
44.9
35.5
11
43%
2
6
4
2
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
44.0
36.9
20
46%
13
5
2
1
2
5
3
10
4-4
100%
5-17
6-13
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
35.5
23.4
17
52%
8
2
1
2
4
3
3
5
5-5
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
18.1
19.3
5
37%
4
0
1
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
32.9
26.2
18
60%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
24.8
14.1
6
50%
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
12.2
11.4
3
39%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
2.3
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
14.8
1
2-5
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
5.1
0
1-2
48%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.