Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	57%	99	97	93.3	104	100.4
	14	Grizzlies	43%	97	100	99.0	101	86.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	35.8	8	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	34.4	12	55%	3	4	0	0	5	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.0	14	70%	5	2	3	1	3	4	1	4	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	24.8	8	31%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	6-6	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	9.9	1	13%	2	0	0	3	3	5	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	38.9	20	63%	6	6	2	0	4	2	3	3	3-6	50%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	38.3	23	64%	10	4	2	0	4	4	1	9	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	18.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	12.9	8	80%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	11.5	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	6.7	2	33%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	97	50%	42	20	9	4	24	0	9	33	20-27	74%	28-57	49%	7-23	30%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	35.8	8	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	34.4	12	55%	3	4	0	0	5	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.0	14	70%	5	2	3	1	3	4	1	4	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	24.8	8	31%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	6-6	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	9.9	1	13%	2	0	0	3	3	5	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	38.9	20	63%	6	6	2	0	4	2	3	3	3-6	50%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	38.3	23	64%	10	4	2	0	4	4	1	9	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	18.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	12.9	8	80%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	11.5	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	6.7	2	33%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	97	50%	42	20	9	4	24	0	9	33	20-27	74%	28-57	49%	7-23	30%

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14 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 27	50.2	20	50%	13	1	2	3	1	2	3	10	10-14	71%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 24	44.9	11	42%	2	6	4	0	2	4	1	1	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 25	44.0	20	45%	13	5	2	2	5	4	3	10	4-4	100%	5-17	29%	2-3	67%
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 30	35.5	17	53%	8	2	1	4	3	4	3	5	5-5	100%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Marreese Speights F · 6'10" 255 · 24	18.1	5	36%	4	0	1	0	3	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 24	32.9	18	60%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 25	24.8	6	50%	4	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 24	12.2	3	38%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Josh Selby G · 6'2" 183 · 21	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Young F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27	\| NWT - Back Spasms
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Pargo G · 6'2" 219 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Davis F · 6'8" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	100	48%	48	18	13	9	17	0	17	31	28-35	80%	27-74	36%	6-12	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.99 49.5%

MEM

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

35

63%

MEM

18

35

51%

Midrange

DEN

6

22

27%

MEM

9

39

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

MEM

6

9.0

12

50%

75%

Free Throws

DEN

20

27

74%

MEM

28

35

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Harrington	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Miller	20	63%	10.0 / 16
Nene	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Lawson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Afflalo	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Gallinari	8	31%	4.0 / 13
C. Brewer	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Andersen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Mozgov	1	13%	0.5 / 4
K. Koufos	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Fernandez	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gasol	20	50%	10.0 / 20
R. Gay	20	45%	10.0 / 22
O. Mayo	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Allen	17	53%	8.5 / 16
M. Conley	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Cunningham	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Speights	5	36%	2.5 / 7
Q. Pondexter	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 20 104.1	DEN 93.3 MEM 99.0 +5.7
Pace	2 94.1 20 90.7	DEN 100.4 +14.3 MEM 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 16 15.8	DEN 14.3 −2.4 MEM 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 25 47.3%	DEN 48.1% +6.2% MEM 41.9%
TO %	20 15.7% 16 15.3%	DEN 21.4% MEM 14.4% −7.0%
ORB %	13 27.7% 3 29.9%	DEN 22.5% MEM 34.0% +11.5%
FTrt	2 32.6 13 27.7	DEN 33.8 MEM 40.7 +6.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 26 53.2%	DEN 57.1% +2.6% MEM 54.5%
STL %	15 8.6% 1 10.5%	DEN 8.7% MEM 12.9% +4.2%
BLK %	16 8.1% 6 8.8%	DEN 5.4% MEM 15.8% +10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 24 50.1%	DEN 49.5% +1.4% MEM 48.1%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 19 57.1%	DEN 62.9% +11.5% MEM 51.4%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 16 38.9%	DEN 27.3% +4.2% MEM 23.1%
3P %	24 33.2% 25 32.6%	DEN 30.4% MEM 50.0% +19.6%
FT %	24 73.6% 13 75.9%	DEN 74.1% MEM 80.0% +5.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 10 37.4%	DEN 43.8% +3.1% MEM 40.7%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 26 47.0%	DEN 27.5% −17.8% MEM 45.3%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 28 15.7%	DEN 28.7% +14.8% MEM 14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	104	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	28.1
Points	97	100
Rebounds	42	48
Assists	20	18
Steals	9	13
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	24 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (9)	17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	31 (1)
Field Goals	35-80	33-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	18-35
Midrange FG	6-22	9-39
2-Point FG	28-57	27-74
3-Point FG	7-23	6-12
Free Throws	20-27	28-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg