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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors25%8464
15Celtics75%94100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
38.5
22.4
10
64%
12
0
0
1
2
3
4
8
2-4
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
26.4
9.9
8
55%
9
0
1
0
1
1
2
7
0-3
0%
4-6
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
25.6
33.9
8
28%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-5
40%
3-12
5-11
25%
45%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
22.8
25.3
7
31%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
22.2
31.5
1
9%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
26.8
23.5
14
54%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
2-5
40%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
21.1
20.9
4
22%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
19.2
16.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
15.2
13.5
6
34%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-6
1-3
17%
43%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
13.0
12.4
6
150%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
2-2
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
4.7
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
4.6
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
26.5
30.9
11
85%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
25.5
34.4
17
67%
6
8
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-5
5-10
20%
51%
4-6
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
23.1
31.0
12
67%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
16.9
30.8
7
70%
5
4
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
5-11
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
13.7
15.1
6
75%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
31.1
31.3
12
61%
9
2
0
1
0
2
1
8
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
21.5
14.3
8
47%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
21.4
8.3
6
43%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
21.3
20.3
6
43%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
17.6
14.2
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
9.7
1.0
11
94%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
5-5
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
7.0
3.4
2
50%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
4.7
7.9
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.