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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons30%9496
23Nets70%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
43.3
29.6
15
42%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
44%
1-8
13%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
39.4
25.8
21
59%
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
9-14
4-9
64%
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
36.8
31.0
21
77%
8
0
3
1
1
4
3
5
5-6
83%
8-11
6-12
73%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
24.4
27.6
7
70%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
22.8
20.0
4
25%
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
31.0
17.0
14
62%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
20.8
19.5
12
75%
6
2
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
40%
2-3
67%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
11.3
26.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
5.3
14.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
4.9
20.3
2
29%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
9.4
0
1-2
45%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
5.5
0
1-1
47%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
42.9
36.6
26
59%
3
9
0
1
0
5
1
2
1-2
50%
11-16
5-10
69%
50%
1-5
20%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
38.9
35.1
18
54%
8
5
1
1
2
3
4
4
4-6
67%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
37.8
23.6
11
50%
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
3-8
38%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
30.6
22.6
15
69%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
26.9
20.4
9
57%
11
0
1
1
0
1
7
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
25.3
7.2
9
42%
6
6
2
0
0
0
1
5
4-6
67%
1-6
1-2
17%
49%
1-2
50%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
20.6
6.0
9
80%
8
0
0
0
0
1
5
3
3-6
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 31.7
17.1
13.0
2
18%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
32.9
1
3-7
48%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
16.7
0
2-5
49%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
13.9
0
2-4
49%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
12.8
0
1-2
49%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.