Final Win Prob. pScore
162%100
97
1738%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
103.294102.7
MIL logo Bucks
116.79083.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL97
105
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)97
105
Q4 - 0:13.0MILIlyasova Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)94
105
Q4 - 0:14.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)94
105
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
105
Q4 - 0:26.0MILBUCKS Rebound94
105
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw Technical94
105
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )94
105
Q4 - 0:38.0MILSUB: Livingston FOR Mbah a Moute94
105
Q4 - 0:38.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 3)94
105
Q4 - 0:38.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
105
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot94
105
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
105
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
105
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMbah a Moute 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gooden 5 AST)94
105
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)94
103
Q4 - 1:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
103
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Jennings 8' Jump Shot92
103
Q4 - 1:29MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
103
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
103
Q4 - 1:39MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)92
103
Q4 - 1:39MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)92
102
Q4 - 1:39MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.PN)92
101
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)92
101
Q4 - 1:57MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
101
Q4 - 1:58MILMISS Gooden 3PT Jump Shot92
101
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P7.T17)92
101
Q4 - 2:14MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)92
101
Q4 - 2:25MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)92
101
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
101
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
101
Q4 - 2:26MILDunleavy S.FOUL (P2.T4)90
101
Q4 - 2:32MILGooden 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Jennings 8 AST)90
101
Q4 - 2:51MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)90
99
Q4 - 2:57MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)87
99
Q4 - 3:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
99
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99
Q4 - 3:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
99
Q4 - 3:12MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 287
99
Q4 - 3:12MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
99
Q4 - 3:12MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.PN)87
98
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T4)87
98
Q4 - 3:31MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)87
98
Q4 - 3:31MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)87
98
Q4 - 3:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
98
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
98
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
98
Q4 - 3:48MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Hook Shot84
98
Q4 - 4:13MIAJames 1' Layup (37 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
98
Q4 - 4:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)82
98
Q4 - 4:25MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)82
98
Q4 - 4:40MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)82
95
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot82
95
Q4 - 5:04MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)82
95
Q4 - 5:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
92
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup82
92
Q4 - 5:41MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
92
Q4 - 5:41MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
91
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh S.FOUL (P4.T3)82
90
Q4 - 5:56MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
90
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot82
90
Q4 - 6:07MILGooden Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)82
90
Q4 - 6:15MILBUCKS Rebound82
90
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot82
90
Q4 - 6:40MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole82
90
Q4 - 6:40MIASUB: Battier FOR Miller82
90
Q4 - 6:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)82
90
Q4 - 6:40MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)82
90
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)82
87
Q4 - 7:13MILGooden P.FOUL (P2.T3)82
87
Q4 - 7:29MILMbah a Moute 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Gooden 4 AST)82
87
Q4 - 7:38MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
85
Q4 - 7:40MIAIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)82
85
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
85
Q4 - 7:49MILMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 8:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)82
85
Q4 - 8:07MIAHeat Rebound81
85
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
85
Q4 - 8:07MILSUB: Gooden FOR Sanders81
85
Q4 - 8:0781
85
Q4 - 8:07MILSanders S.FOUL (P4.T2)81
85
Q4 - 8:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
85
Q4 - 8:23MILMbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)81
85
Q4 - 8:25MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)81
83
Q4 - 8:25MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot81
83
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup81
83
Q4 - 8:43MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
83
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot81
83
Q4 - 9:02MILDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)81
83
Q4 - 9:12MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
81
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 9:26MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)81
81
Q4 - 9:26MILBUCKS Rebound81
81
Q4 - 9:26MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 9:37MIASUB: James FOR Haslem81
81
Q4 - 9:52MIABosh 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
81
Q4 - 10:04MILSanders Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
81
Q4 - 10:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
81
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot79
81
Q4 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
81
Q4 - 10:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
81
Q4 - 10:38MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot79
81
Q4 - 10:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 279
81
Q4 - 10:40MILBUCKS Rebound79
81
Q4 - 10:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 279
81
Q4 - 10:40MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)79
81
Q4 - 10:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
81
Q4 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
81
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot79
81
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot79
81
Q4 - 10:57MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier79
81
Q4 - 10:57MILSanders P.FOUL (P3.T1)79
81
Q4 - 11:07MILJennings 5' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)79
81
Q4 - 11:16MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
79
Q4 - 11:18MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)79
79
Q4 - 11:33MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 11:33MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T1)79
78
Q4 - 11:33MILIlyasova 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)79
78
Q4 - 11:41MILBUCKS Rebound79
76
Q4 - 11:42MILMISS Dunleavy 1' Layup79
76
Q4 - 12:0079
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
76
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
76
Q3 - 0:04.0MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
76
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot79
76
Q3 - 0:29.0MILDunleavy 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)79
76
Q3 - 0:35.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
74
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
74
Q3 - 0:58.0MILGooden Layup (13 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)79
74
Q3 - 1:18MIAMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)79
72
Q3 - 1:36MILGooden Layup (11 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)77
72
Q3 - 1:46MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T4)77
70
Q3 - 1:58MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)77
70
Q3 - 1:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)76
70
Q3 - 1:58MILGooden S.FOUL (P1.PN)75
70
Q3 - 2:11MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
70
Q3 - 2:11MIASUB: Miller FOR Anthony75
69
Q3 - 2:11MILSUB: Dunleavy FOR Livingston75
69
Q3 - 2:11MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
69
Q3 - 2:11MIACole S.FOUL (P2.T3)75
68
Q3 - 2:13MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
68
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot75
68
Q3 - 2:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
68
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot75
68
Q3 - 2:54MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)75
68
Q3 - 3:01MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
68
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot73
68
Q3 - 3:21MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)73
68
Q3 - 3:37MILJennings P.FOUL (P1.T4)71
68
Q3 - 3:46MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers71
68
Q3 - 3:46MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Mbah a Moute71
68
Q3 - 3:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
68
Q3 - 3:46MILLivingston 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Gooden 3 AST)71
68
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade71
66
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh71
66
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T15)71
66
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)71
66
Q3 - 4:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
66
Q3 - 4:05MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
66
Q3 - 4:05MILMISS Livingston 1' Tip Shot71
66
Q3 - 4:07MILMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot71
66
Q3 - 4:38MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)71
66
Q3 - 4:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
66
Q3 - 4:58MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot69
66
Q3 - 5:05MIAJennings STEAL (4 STL)69
66
Q3 - 5:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
66
Q3 - 5:18MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 269
66
Q3 - 5:18MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 5:18MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T2)69
65
Q3 - 5:24MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
65
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
65
Q3 - 5:43MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)69
65
Q3 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
65
Q3 - 5:58MIAHeat Rebound68
65
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
65
Q3 - 5:58MILLivingston S.FOUL (P3.T3)68
65
Q3 - 6:14MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)68
65
Q3 - 6:29MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
62
Q3 - 6:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
62
Q3 - 6:37MILMISS Livingston 13' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
62
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
62
Q3 - 6:56MILLivingston S.FOUL (P2.T2)64
62
Q3 - 7:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
62
Q3 - 7:05MILMISS Jennings 29' 3PT Jump Shot64
62
Q3 - 7:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
62
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot64
62
Q3 - 7:52MILGooden 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)64
62
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)64
60
Q3 - 8:28MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)62
60
Q3 - 8:44MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)62
57
Q3 - 8:47MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)62
57
Q3 - 9:00MIAJennings STEAL (3 STL)62
57
Q3 - 9:12MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)62
57
Q3 - 9:18MIAGooden STEAL (2 STL)62
55
Q3 - 9:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
55
Q3 - 9:22MILMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot62
55
Q3 - 9:39MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
55
Q3 - 10:02MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
55
Q3 - 10:03MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
55
Q3 - 10:12MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
52
Q3 - 10:13MIADelfino BLOCK (1 BLK)60
52
Q3 - 10:32MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)60
52
Q3 - 10:41MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T1)60
49
Q3 - 10:55MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
49
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot60
49
Q3 - 11:09MILLivingston P.FOUL (P1.T1)60
49
Q3 - 11:17MILGooden 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)60
49
Q3 - 11:36MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
47
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade Layup60
47
Q3 - 11:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
47
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup60
47
Q3 - 12:0060
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL60
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL60
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound60
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Livingston 4' Jump Shot60
47
Q2 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Miller60
47
Q2 - 0:03.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)60
47
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)60
47
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 260
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Anthony60
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MILSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Gooden60
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Miller FOR Chalmers60
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
47
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
46
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T9)60
46
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)60
46
Q2 - 0:34.0MILGooden Layup (5 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)60
46
Q2 - 0:40.0MILBUCKS Rebound60
44
Q2 - 0:40.0MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup60
44
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)60
44
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
44
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot60
44
Q2 - 1:00MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)60
44
Q2 - 1:00MILBUCKS Rebound60
44
Q2 - 1:00MILMISS Livingston 2' Layup60
44
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
44
Q2 - 1:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
44
Q2 - 1:18MILMISS Livingston 6' Jump Shot58
44
Q2 - 1:35MILBUCKS Rebound58
44
Q2 - 1:35MIALivingston BLOCK (2 BLK)58
44
Q2 - 1:5258
44
Q2 - 1:52MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)58
44
Q2 - 1:52MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)58
44
Q2 - 2:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
41
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
41
Q2 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
41
Q2 - 2:25MILMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot58
41
Q2 - 2:34MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)58
41
Q2 - 2:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
41
Q2 - 2:43MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
41
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)58
41
Q2 - 3:11MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
41
Q2 - 3:11MILGooden 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)56
41
Q2 - 3:12MILMISS Livingston 1' Layup56
39
Q2 - 3:26MILBUCKS Rebound56
39
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup56
39
Q2 - 3:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
39
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
39
Q2 - 3:54MIAHeat Rebound56
39
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
39
Q2 - 4:13MIAChalmers 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
39
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
39
Q2 - 4:20MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup54
39
Q2 - 4:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
39
Q2 - 4:41MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem53
39
Q2 - 4:41MILSUB: Livingston FOR Dunleavy53
39
Q2 - 4:41MIAHeat Rebound53
39
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 253
39
Q2 - 4:41MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P1.T4)53
39
Q2 - 4:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
39
Q2 - 4:59MILMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot53
39
Q2 - 5:05MIASUB: James FOR Battier53
39
Q2 - 5:05MILSUB: Delfino FOR Mbah a Moute53
39
Q2 - 5:09MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
39
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
39
Q2 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
39
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
39
Q2 - 5:37MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
39
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot53
39
Q2 - 5:58MILIlyasova 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)53
39
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)53
37
Q2 - 6:21MILDunleavy 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)51
37
Q2 - 6:24MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
35
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot51
35
Q2 - 6:44MILIlyasova 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)51
35
Q2 - 7:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
33
Q2 - 7:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
33
Q2 - 7:02MILDunleavy S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
33
Q2 - 7:04MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
33
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
33
Q2 - 7:22MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 7:41MILSUB: Jennings FOR Udrih49
33
Q2 - 7:41MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)49
33
Q2 - 7:47MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)49
33
Q2 - 7:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
33
Q2 - 7:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
33
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot46
33
Q2 - 7:59MILMISS Gooden 4' Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 8:12MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)46
33
Q2 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
33
Q2 - 8:27MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot44
33
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
33
Q2 - 8:52MILSUB: Gooden FOR Leuer43
33
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
33
Q2 - 8:52MILLeuer S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
33
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
33
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot42
33
Q2 - 9:06MILDunleavy 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)42
33
Q2 - 9:17MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)42
31
Q2 - 9:26MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)42
31
Q2 - 9:41MIASUB: Wade FOR Miller40
31
Q2 - 9:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)40
31
Q2 - 9:48MILUdrih Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)40
31
Q2 - 9:54MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
29
Q2 - 9:57MILMISS Leuer Free Throw 1 of 140
29
Q2 - 9:57MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)40
29
Q2 - 9:57MILLeuer 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)40
29
Q2 - 10:09MILBUCKS Rebound40
27
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
27
Q2 - 10:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole40
27
Q2 - 10:25MILSUB: Leuer FOR Sanders40
27
Q2 - 10:25MIASUB: Bosh FOR James40
27
Q2 - 10:25MILSanders P.FOUL (P2.T1)40
27
Q2 - 10:40MILUdrih 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
27
Q2 - 10:47MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
25
Q2 - 10:48MILMISS Mbah a Moute 5' Hook Shot40
25
Q2 - 11:02MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)40
25
Q2 - 11:16MILMbah a Moute 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)40
25
Q2 - 11:33MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
23
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
23
Q2 - 12:0040
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL40
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL40
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound40
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Udrih 34' 3PT Jump Shot40
23
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)40
23
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
23
Q1 - 0:23.0MILMISS Jackson 2' Layup37
23
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (21 PTS)37
23
Q1 - 0:35.0MILUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
23
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)35
23
Q1 - 0:49.0MILUdrih 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)35
23
Q1 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)35
21
Q1 - 1:00MIAHeat Rebound34
21
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 234
21
Q1 - 1:00MILJackson P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
21
Q1 - 1:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
21
Q1 - 1:06MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
21
Q1 - 1:06MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot34
21
Q1 - 1:08MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
21
Q1 - 1:08MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Tip Shot34
21
Q1 - 1:09MILMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
21
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)34
21
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)33
21
Q1 - 1:29MILSanders S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
21
Q1 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21
Q1 - 1:33MILMISS Dunleavy 22' Jump Shot32
21
Q1 - 1:51MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)32
21
Q1 - 1:55MILSUB: Udrih FOR Jennings29
21
Q1 - 2:17MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
21
Q1 - 2:17MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
20
Q1 - 2:17MILSUB: Sanders FOR Gooden29
19
Q1 - 2:17MIASUB: Miller FOR Anthony29
19
Q1 - 2:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)29
19
Q1 - 2:17MIACole P.FOUL (P1.PN)29
19
Q1 - 2:35MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)29
19
Q1 - 3:00MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers27
19
Q1 - 3:00MILJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
19
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)27
19
Q1 - 3:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Jennings 15' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 3:33MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 3:54MILDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 3:54MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade24
18
Q1 - 3:54MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
18
Q1 - 3:54MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
17
Q1 - 4:04MILSUB: Dunleavy FOR Livingston24
17
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh24
17
Q1 - 4:04MIABosh P.FOUL (P2.T4)24
17
Q1 - 4:23MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)24
17
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
17
Q1 - 4:29MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
17
Q1 - 4:29MILMISS Jackson 1' Layup22
17
Q1 - 4:31MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup22
17
Q1 - 4:43MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
17
Q1 - 5:05MILIlyasova 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)20
17
Q1 - 5:26MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Mbah a Moute20
15
Q1 - 5:26MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
15
Q1 - 5:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
15
Q1 - 5:26MILGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
15
Q1 - 5:36MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
15
Q1 - 5:38MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot20
15
Q1 - 5:54MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
15
Q1 - 6:08MILGooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
15
Q1 - 6:20MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:42MILLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
15
Q1 - 6:42MILLivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
14
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
13
Q1 - 6:56MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
13
Q1 - 7:14MILJennings Layup (5 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 7:18MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)15
11
Q1 - 7:45MILMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)15
11
Q1 - 8:08MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)15
9
Q1 - 8:25MILLivingston 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)13
9
Q1 - 8:50MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
7
Q1 - 8:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
7
Q1 - 8:54MIALivingston BLOCK (1 BLK)11
7
Q1 - 8:59MILLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
7
Q1 - 9:13MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)11
7
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 9:29MIL6
7
Q1 - 9:29MILSUB: Jackson FOR Delfino6
7
Q1 - 9:29MILDelfino C.P.FOUL (P2.T2)6
7
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 9:31MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 9:39MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 9:54MILDelfino S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 9:59MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 10:16MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:28MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:28MILBUCKS Rebound2
3
Q1 - 10:28MILMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 22
3
Q1 - 10:28MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 10:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
3
Q1 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
3
Q1 - 10:56MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)2
3
Q1 - 11:12MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gooden vs. Anthony: Tip to Jennings0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
MIL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
26
50%
MIL
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
27
44%
MIL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
MIL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
MIL
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4071%20.0 / 28
D. Wade2355%11.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1680%8.0 / 10
C. Bosh941%4.5 / 11
N. Cole350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
M. Miller233%1.0 / 3
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings3153%15.5 / 29
D. Gooden1761%8.5 / 14
L. Mbah a Moute1372%6.5 / 9
C. Delfino1179%5.5 / 7
M. Dunleavy1063%5.0 / 8
E. Ilyasova932%4.5 / 14
S. Livingston633%3.0 / 9
B. Udrih675%3.0 / 4
J. Leuer2100%1.0 / 1
S. Jackson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+8
-17
85
MIL
78
+19
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
MIL
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.7
MIA 103.2
MIL 116.7 +13.5
Pace
91.3
93.7
MIA 102.7 +19.7
MIL 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.2
MIA 14.0 −3.3
MIL 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
48.1%
MIA 52.7% +2.7%
MIL 50.0%
TO %
15.9%
14.6%
MIA 17.7%
MIL 11.6% −6.1%
ORB %
26.6%
27.8%
MIA 22.9%
MIL 27.7% +4.8%
FTrt
30.7
25.0
MIA 32.9 +4.5
MIL 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
62.0%
MIA 70.6%
MIL 76.9% +6.3%
STL %
9.6%
8.8%
MIA 8.5%
MIL 10.0% +1.5%
BLK %
9.0%
8.0%
MIA 4.6%
MIL 9.4% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIA 56.4% +5.4%
MIL 51.0%
Rim FG%
61.1%
56.2%
MIA 50.0% +2.5%
MIL 47.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.6%
MIA 44.4% +4.4%
MIL 40.0%
3P %
35.9%
34.5%
MIA 45.0% +1.5%
MIL 43.5%
FT %
77.5%
77.5%
MIA 83.3% +15.3%
MIL 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.5%
MIA 35.6%
MIL 45.5% +9.8%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
40.1%
MIA 37.0%
MIL 28.4% −8.6%
3P Att. %
19.8%
22.4%
MIA 27.4% +1.3%
MIL 26.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points97105
Rebounds4240
Assists2430
Steals89
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)27 (4)
Field Goals34-7339-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2619-40
Midrange FG12-2710-25
2-Point FG25-5329-65
3-Point FG9-2010-23
Free Throws20-2417-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
40.3
40
71%
8
5
2
0
7
1
0
8
8-10
80%
10-17
59%
4-7
57%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
38.4
9
41%
9
5
0
0
0
4
2
7
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
36.8
23
55%
8
6
1
1
3
3
2
6
7-8
88%
8-16
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
34.2
16
80%
2
5
1
1
5
5
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
4-6
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
24.6
2
50%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
22.6
0
0%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.7
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
13.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
11.8
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
42
24
8
3
17
0
8
34
20-24
83%
25-53
47%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.