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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder46%9795
7Mavericks54%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
42.3
38.2
23
47%
13
3
2
1
2
3
0
13
8-12
67%
6-14
7-14
43%
50%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
40.0
30.2
4
25%
11
1
1
0
10
1
6
5
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
36.8
36.4
33
58%
6
4
2
2
1
6
1
5
9-10
90%
9-20
7-16
45%
44%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
28.2
24.1
8
68%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
25.0
21.3
5
50%
4
0
3
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
37%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
35.6
35.3
10
36%
7
9
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-7
57%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
20.8
17.9
5
64%
5
0
2
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
11.2
11.2
7
58%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
11.1
0
1-1
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
2.0
0
0-0
40%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
1.8
0
0-0
40%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.6
37.7
24.7
8
24%
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
8
4-4
100%
2-10
4-9
20%
50%
0-5
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
32.7
29.4
12
40%
10
2
0
1
1
4
6
4
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
32.3
25.9
9
32%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-10
4-7
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.0
28.8
22.7
8
37%
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-3
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
22.7
19.9
6
38%
9
0
1
0
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-4
38%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
36.0
28.9
25
90%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
9-9
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
49%
2-4
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
25.3
4.9
12
79%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
4-6
67%
4-5
1-2
80%
53%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
15.7
19.4
5
42%
3
3
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
8.8
7.4
1
17%
3
0
0
0
3
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
22.3
0
2-4
55%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
19.2
0
3-5
51%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
5.7
0
0-0
38%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
5.3
0
1-2
44%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.