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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies43%9196
12Hawks57%9377
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
40.0
36.7
15
54%
3
6
4
2
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
35.4
39.0
11
62%
10
2
1
1
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
34.4
37.4
21
52%
6
3
3
1
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
9-16
6-13
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
32.5
25.9
18
63%
6
4
1
2
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
15.6
18.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
27.7
16.5
8
67%
12
3
1
1
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
27.4
27.1
18
63%
4
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
9.8
11.2
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
4.3
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.9
4.3
7.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
4.3
3.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
4.3
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
28.3
32.1
10
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
21.3
24.0
9
75%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
20.9
26.8
7
90%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
20.0
27.4
6
38%
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
18.8
30.1
11
53%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-3
33%
5-9
5-11
56%
49%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
28.6
17.1
10
42%
9
0
0
1
2
2
2
7
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
23.4
12.4
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
22.6
15.3
9
41%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
19.2
17.8
3
38%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
13.4
5.2
6
43%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
41%
0-2
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
12.6
18.6
0
0%
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
8.8
4.0
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
2.2
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.