Final Win Prob. pScore
2522%88
81
1178%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
94.28681.6
SAS logo Spurs
110.78488.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0NOHOkafor 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0NOHMISS Vasquez 8' Jump Shot79
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHLandry 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18NOHLandry Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32SASSUB: Anderson FOR Splitter77
92
Q4 - 1:32SASSUB: Leonard FOR Duncan77
92
Q4 - 1:32SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker77
92
Q4 - 1:32SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32NOHAriza Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)77
91
Q4 - 1:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASParker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09NOHAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T10)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)77
89
Q4 - 2:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 177
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12NOHAriza S.FOUL (P1.T2)77
89
Q4 - 3:12SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS)77
89
Q4 - 3:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 3:16NOHMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 3:29NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Summers77
87
Q4 - 3:29NOHSUB: Landry FOR Smith77
87
Q4 - 3:29NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)77
87
Q4 - 3:36SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)77
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:56SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 3:58NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)77
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:02NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS Vasquez 2' Layup77
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 4:10SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 4:29NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot77
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 4:41NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot77
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 5:01SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 5:02NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot77
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 5:14SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Vasquez77
85
Q4 - 5:14NOHHornets Rebound77
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 5:14NOHMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot77
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 5:39NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 5:40SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 277
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 5:40SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bonner77
85
Q4 - 5:40SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 5:40NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P5.T1)77
84
Q4 - 6:01NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Summers 2 AST)77
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 6:22NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 2' Reverse Layup74
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 6:46SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
84
Q4 - 6:46NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 6:58NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Landry72
84
Q4 - 6:58NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Belinelli72
84
Q4 - 6:58SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:03NOHMISS Summers 14' Jump Shot72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:13SASSplitter 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:30NOHSummers 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)72
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 7:46SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)70
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 8:06SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:07NOHMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot70
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 8:23SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)70
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:41NOHSummers 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)70
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 9:07SASParker 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)68
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 9:16SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 9:17NOHMISS Vasquez 21' Jump Shot68
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q4 - 9:32NOHHornets Rebound68
75
Q4 - 9:32NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw Technical68
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 9:32SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Green )68
75
Q4 - 9:46NOHSUB: Summers FOR Aminu68
75
Q4 - 9:46NOHSUB: Smith FOR Ayon68
75
Q4 - 9:46NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)68
75
Q4 - 9:46SASParker 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)68
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 9:48SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 9:50NOHGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)68
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q4 - 10:07SASSplitter 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)68
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q4 - 10:19NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR C. Johnson68
71
Q4 - 10:19NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q4 - 10:43NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q4 - 10:43SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
18.2%
71
81.8%
Q4 - 10:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q4 - 10:56NOHMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot68
16.9%
71
83.1%
Q4 - 11:04SASNeal P.FOUL (P4.T1)68
71
Q4 - 11:22NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Splitter 10' Turnaround Jump Shot68
18.4%
71
81.6%
Q4 - 11:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
16.3%
71
83.7%
Q4 - 11:38NOHMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot68
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q4 - 12:0068
71
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH68
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound68
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)68
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHLandry 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (C. Johnson 5 AST)68
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASMISS Bonner 12' Pullup Jump Shot66
21.8%
68
78.2%
Q3 - 1:03SASSPURS Rebound66
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 1:04NOHMISS C. Johnson 3' Layup66
20.3%
68
79.7%
Q3 - 1:14NOHC. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 1:15SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 266
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 1:15SASSUB: Neal FOR Leonard66
68
Q3 - 1:15SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
20.0%
68
80.0%
Q3 - 1:15NOHC. Johnson Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)66
67
Q3 - 1:30NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
22.7%
67
77.3%
Q3 - 1:30NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
22.0%
67
78.0%
Q3 - 1:30SASJoseph S.FOUL (P1.T4)64
67
Q3 - 1:41SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 1:41SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
20.0%
66
80.0%
Q3 - 1:41NOHAyon P.FOUL (P4.PN)64
65
Q3 - 1:58NOHBelinelli 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (C. Johnson 4 AST)64
22.7%
65
77.3%
Q3 - 2:04SASSplitter P.FOUL (P3.T3)62
65
Q3 - 2:21SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)62
19.0%
65
81.0%
Q3 - 2:45NOHC. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
25.5%
62
74.5%
Q3 - 3:01NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 3:21NOHLandry 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (C. Johnson 3 AST)60
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 3:38SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)58
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 3:38NOHAminu S.FOUL (P2.T4)58
61
Q3 - 3:38SASSplitter 3' Layup (8 PTS)58
61
Q3 - 3:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 3:41SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
23.9%
59
76.1%
Q3 - 3:55NOHC. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)58
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 4:01SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker58
59
Q3 - 4:01SASSplitter P.FOUL (P2.T2)58
59
Q3 - 4:12NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
24.9%
59
75.1%
Q3 - 4:14SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
23.7%
59
76.3%
Q3 - 4:38NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Ariza58
59
Q3 - 4:38SASSUB: Leonard FOR Jefferson58
59
Q3 - 4:38SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair58
59
Q3 - 4:38SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
59
Q3 - 4:38NOHC. Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 4:55NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
18.9%
59
81.1%
Q3 - 4:56SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Bank Shot56
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q3 - 5:13NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 5:34SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q3 - 5:34NOHSUB: C. Johnson FOR Vasquez56
58
Q3 - 5:34NOHSUB: Ayon FOR Smith56
58
Q3 - 5:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q3 - 5:34NOHVasquez S.FOUL (P3.T3)56
57
Q3 - 5:37SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMISS Ariza 3' Running Jump Shot56
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 5:45NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Summers56
57
Q3 - 5:45SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan56
57
Q3 - 5:45SASSUB: Green FOR Neal56
57
Q3 - 5:45SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T1)56
57
Q3 - 5:58SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)56
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q3 - 6:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
26.6%
55
73.4%
Q3 - 6:08NOHMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot56
27.6%
55
72.4%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)56
30.1%
55
69.9%
Q3 - 6:44NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)56
33.4%
53
66.6%
Q3 - 7:06NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot54
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q3 - 7:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
26.0%
53
74.0%
Q3 - 7:16NOHMISS Smith 10' Jump Bank Shot54
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q3 - 7:40SASDuncan 2' Layup (15 PTS)54
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q3 - 7:43NOHDuncan STEAL (2 STL)54
32.4%
51
67.6%
Q3 - 7:43NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q3 - 7:44SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
35.0%
51
65.0%
Q3 - 8:09NOHVasquez 21' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
31.8%
51
68.2%
Q3 - 8:21NOHHornets Rebound52
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q3 - 8:22NOHMISS Ariza 6' Running Jump Shot52
26.6%
51
73.4%
Q3 - 8:42NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
51
Q3 - 8:44SASParker 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q3 - 8:50NOHNeal STEAL (1 STL)52
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q3 - 9:00NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
35.4%
49
64.6%
Q3 - 9:01SASMISS Neal 11' Jump Shot52
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q3 - 9:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q3 - 9:08SASMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot52
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q3 - 9:18NOHVasquez Foul Turnover (P2.T7)52
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q3 - 9:18NOHVasquez OFF.Foul (P2)52
49
Q3 - 9:32SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
34.4%
49
65.6%
Q3 - 9:32NOHSUB: Landry FOR Okafor52
48
Q3 - 9:32SASSPURS Rebound52
48
Q3 - 9:32SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 252
35.5%
48
64.5%
Q3 - 9:32NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P4.T2)52
48
Q3 - 9:45NOHVasquez 11' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q3 - 9:55NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q3 - 9:56SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot50
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q3 - 10:11NOHSummers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)50
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q3 - 10:29NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Blair 14' Jump Shot47
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q3 - 10:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot47
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q3 - 10:54NOHSmith 8' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 11:13SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)45
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q3 - 11:28SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
19.4%
46
80.6%
Q3 - 11:29NOHMISS Okafor 13' Jump Shot45
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q3 - 11:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q3 - 11:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q3 - 11:49NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P3.T1)45
44
Q3 - 12:0045
44
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound45
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 75' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHOkafor 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)45
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)43
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0NOHVasquez 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)43
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)41
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot41
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 1:11NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 1:12NOHMISS Vasquez 2' Layup41
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 1:17NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 1:18SASMISS Bonner 1' Layup41
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 1:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 1:35SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 1:41SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 1:43NOHSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)41
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 1:46NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 1:46NOHMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot41
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 2:14SASSplitter 2' Layup (6 PTS)41
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 2:32SASSUB: Parker FOR Joseph41
42
Q2 - 2:32SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan41
42
Q2 - 2:32SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair41
42
Q2 - 2:32NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
42
Q2 - 2:32SASSPURS Rebound41
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 2:32SASMISS Joseph 3' Layup41
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 2:35NOHJefferson STEAL (1 STL)41
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 2:52SASJoseph 7' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)41
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 3:20NOHVasquez 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 3:38NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 3:39SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot39
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 3:52NOHSmith Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T5)39
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 4:05NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 239
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 4:06SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:06NOHVasquez P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
39
Q2 - 4:10SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 4:11NOHMISS Ariza 2' Layup39
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 4:27SASBlair 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)39
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 4:44NOHMISS Okafor 3' Layup39
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 4:59SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 4:59SASBlair Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T4)39
37
Q2 - 5:17NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 5:17SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker38
37
Q2 - 5:17NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 5:17SASBlair Shooting Block Foul (P1.T3)37
37
Q2 - 5:32SASDuncan 14' Pullup Bank Shot (11 PTS)37
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 5:43SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
35
Q2 - 5:43SASSPURS Rebound37
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 2' Layup37
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 5:49NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)37
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 6:04NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 6:05SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 6:19NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)37
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 6:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 6:30NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Ayon34
34
Q2 - 6:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 6:30NOHAyon S.FOUL (P3.T4)34
33
Q2 - 6:39NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR C. Johnson34
33
Q2 - 6:39NOHSmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
33
Q2 - 6:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 6:52NOHMISS Ayon 3' Layup34
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 7:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 7:07SASSUB: Blair FOR Bonner34
32
Q2 - 7:07NOHAyon S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
32
Q2 - 7:07SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)34
32
Q2 - 7:27NOHAriza 2' Layup (2 PTS) (C. Johnson 2 AST)34
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 7:32SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)32
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 7:49NOHBelinelli 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (C. Johnson 1 AST)32
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q2 - 8:02NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Bonner 21' Jump Shot30
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q2 - 8:20NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 8:20SASSUB: Green FOR Neal29
30
Q2 - 8:20NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 8:20SASNeal S.FOUL (P3.T2)28
30
Q2 - 8:30NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Jefferson 2' Layup28
17.8%
30
82.2%
Q2 - 8:41NOHSUB: Smith FOR Landry28
30
Q2 - 8:4128
30
Q2 - 8:41NOHLandry L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)28
30
Q2 - 8:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)28
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup28
17.8%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 8:54SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 8:56NOHMISS C. Johnson 3' Layup28
17.1%
30
82.9%
Q2 - 9:10SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 9:23NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 128
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 9:23NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Aminu28
30
Q2 - 9:23SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter28
30
Q2 - 9:23SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
30
Q2 - 9:23NOHLandry 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 9:40SASJefferson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)26
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 9:56NOHLandry 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)26
16.5%
28
83.5%
Q2 - 10:21SASSplitter 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 10:24SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q2 - 10:25SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q2 - 10:39SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q2 - 10:41NOHMISS C. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 10:56NOHC. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 10:58SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup24
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q2 - 11:20NOHLandry 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)24
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 11:42SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)22
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH22
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH22
23
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHAyon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHHornets Rebound21
23
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHMISS Ayon Free Throw 1 of 221
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBonner P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
23
Q1 - 0:37.0SASJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
17.8%
23
82.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOHAyon 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)21
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:00SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 1:00SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 1:00NOHAyon P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
21
Q1 - 1:03SASBonner Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)19
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 1:03NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Aminu )19
20
Q1 - 1:17NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 1:17SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
20
Q1 - 1:17NOHLandry 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 1:33NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 116
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 1:35NOHSUB: C. Johnson FOR Vasquez16
20
Q1 - 1:35NOHAminu S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
20
Q1 - 1:35SASGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 1:42SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 1:43NOHMISS Landry 13' Turnaround Jump Shot16
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 2:04SASBonner 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)16
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 2:21NOHLandry 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 2:41SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)14
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 2:45NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Smith14
16
Q1 - 2:45NOHSUB: Ayon FOR Ariza14
16
Q1 - 2:45NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
16
Q1 - 3:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:05NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot14
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 3:21NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 3:23NOHMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Jump Shot14
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 3:47SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 3:47SASSplitter 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Bonner 4' Running Jump Shot14
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 4:07SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 4:08NOHMISS Landry 4' Jump Shot14
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 4:26NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Joseph 20' Jump Shot14
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 4:51NOHLandry L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)14
14
Q1 - 4:51SASSPURS Rebound14
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 4:51NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 5:03SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair14
14
Q1 - 5:03SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker14
14
Q1 - 5:03NOHHornets Rebound14
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 5:04NOHMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot14
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 5:19SASLeonard 3' Layup (2 PTS)14
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 5:41NOHAminu 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)14
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 5:45NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Parker 2' Layup12
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 6:10NOHVasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 6:10SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
12
Q1 - 6:10SASSUB: Green FOR Neal11
12
Q1 - 6:10NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 6:10SASNeal S.FOUL (P2.T3)10
12
Q1 - 6:20NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 6:21SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 6:46SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan10
12
Q1 - 6:46NOHAminu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 6:58SASSUB: Splitter FOR Blair10
11
Q1 - 6:58SASSUB: Leonard FOR Jefferson10
11
Q1 - 6:58NOHSUB: Landry FOR Okafor10
11
Q1 - 6:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:58NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P2.T4)10
10
Q1 - 6:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Blair 3' Layup10
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 7:20NOHOkafor 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)10
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:35NOHHornets Rebound8
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 7:36SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.9%
10
82.1%
Q1 - 7:44NOHOkafor P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
10
Q1 - 8:01SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 8:02NOHMISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot8
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 8:12SASNeal 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 8:29NOHVasquez 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 8:37NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 8:38SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Bank Shot6
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 8:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 8:51NOHMISS Aminu 3' Layup6
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 9:15SASJefferson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 9:25NOHAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 9:25NOHAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 9:25SASNeal S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
6
Q1 - 9:39SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 9:53NOHVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:10SASNeal 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:26NOHVasquez 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:32NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 10:34SASMISS Parker 1' Layup2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:43SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:01SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:02NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 12
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:02SASJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:02NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:02NOHVasquez 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:02NOHMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot0
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 11:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:14NOHMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot0
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:24SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:40NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Summers0
0
Q1 - 11:40NOHSummers P.FOUL (P2.T2)0
0
Q1 - 11:47NOHSummers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:47NOHSummers Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Okafor: Tip to Smith0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.96 48.2%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
12
26
46%
SAS
17
29
59%
Midrange
NOH
18
40
45%
SAS
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
SAS
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
NOH
12
16
75%
SAS
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Landry1771%8.5 / 12
G. Vasquez1650%8.0 / 16
M. Belinelli1169%5.5 / 8
E. Okafor857%4.0 / 7
D. Summers770%3.5 / 5
J. Smith625%3.0 / 12
T. Ariza525%2.5 / 10
A. Aminu467%2.0 / 3
C. Johnson440%2.0 / 5
G. Ayon350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1986%9.5 / 11
T. Parker1856%9.0 / 16
T. Splitter1680%8.0 / 10
D. Green1161%5.5 / 9
G. Neal739%3.5 / 9
R. Jefferson750%3.5 / 7
M. Bonner630%3.0 / 10
C. Joseph440%2.0 / 5
D. Blair321%1.5 / 7
K. Leonard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
73
+11
-13
84
SAS
75
+13
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.96 48.2%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
110.9
NOH 94.2
SAS 110.7 +16.5
Pace
88.4
93.0
NOH 81.6
SAS 88.7 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.5
NOH 17.6
SAS 16.2 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
52.8%
NOH 46.6%
SAS 48.6% +2.0%
TO %
16.5%
14.1%
NOH 14.7%
SAS 11.4% −3.3%
ORB %
27.6%
25.1%
NOH 18.9%
SAS 24.4% +5.5%
FTrt
27.4
26.1
NOH 21.6
SAS 36.5 +14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
58.5%
NOH 51.5% +4.4%
SAS 47.1%
STL %
8.3%
8.0%
NOH 5.8% +1.0%
SAS 4.8%
BLK %
8.2%
6.7%
NOH 9.1% +4.6%
SAS 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
54.9%
NOH 48.2%
SAS 52.2% +4.0%
Rim FG%
56.0%
60.6%
NOH 46.2%
SAS 58.6% +12.4%
Mid FG%
40.6%
41.4%
NOH 45.0%
SAS 50.0% +5.0%
3P %
33.3%
39.3%
NOH 37.5% +16.4%
SAS 21.1%
FT %
75.7%
74.8%
NOH 75.0%
SAS 77.8% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
36.1%
NOH 35.1%
SAS 39.2% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
38.2%
NOH 54.1%
SAS 35.1% −18.9%
3P Att. %
15.2%
25.7%
NOH 10.8%
SAS 25.7% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points8193
Rebounds3840
Assists1716
Steals54
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals33-7434-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2617-29
Midrange FG18-4013-26
2-Point FG30-6630-55
3-Point FG3-84-19
Free Throws12-1621-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 217 · 25
33.8
16
50%
3
5
2
0
2
3
2
1
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
33.0
5
25%
3
2
0
2
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-8
13%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 240 · 26
30.6
6
25%
7
0
0
2
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
21.0
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 240 · 24
12.9
7
70%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26
29.0
11
69%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 248 · 28
28.3
17
71%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
21.1
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 250 · 27
16.1
3
50%
8
0
1
1
0
4
0
8
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 180 · 29
14.2
4
40%
2
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
#10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
38
17
5
5
13
0
7
31
12-16
75%
30-66
45%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.