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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz41%99101
22Warriors59%101119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
40.4
22.6
19
78%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
39.1
29.6
21
72%
4
4
2
1
1
2
3
1
8-8
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.9
34.3
3.8
9
45%
6
13
2
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
32.1
26.0
19
51%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
8-17
6-13
47%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
28.8
32.8
15
60%
11
2
1
1
0
4
5
6
1-1
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
19.3
19.9
3
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
0-5
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.7
15.9
14.6
5
48%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
3-5
60%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.5
13.7
7.0
7
55%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
13.4
22.1
3
22%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
3.1
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.9
27.7
1
2-5
46%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.6
21.6
1
1-2
47%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
10.7
0
1-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
39.9
31.6
33
71%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
10-14
6-11
71%
49%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
39.2
31.6
23
46%
14
2
0
1
0
1
8
6
5-5
100%
9-23
6-12
39%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
38.3
27.7
29
83%
5
12
3
1
0
3
0
5
7-8
88%
8-9
4-7
89%
50%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
27.9
24.9
13
52%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-8
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
27.7
20.3
0
0%
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
17.8
20.9
7
60%
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
17.1
24.4
5
51%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-4
25%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
9.8
19.0
0
0%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
8.2
6.5
3
39%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
8.1
17.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
3.1
3.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
3.1
2.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
10.4
0
1-2
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.