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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers22%9294
9Magic78%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.9
39.7
32.2
18
40%
4
6
0
1
0
2
3
1
4-4
100%
7-20
5-11
35%
46%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
34.3
34.9
12
43%
15
1
3
1
1
0
3
12
2-2
100%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.6
33.9
31.1
16
36%
12
0
1
1
1
0
3
9
3-7
43%
5-13
4-9
38%
46%
1-6
17%
Mychel Thompson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.7
29.9
18.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
17.5
21.8
9
65%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
30.5
27.1
20
73%
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
26.4
23.0
14
61%
6
8
0
1
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
1-1
100%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
13.1
3.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
8.3
4.7
3
150%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.1
6.4
14.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
4.1
0
0-1
54%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
0.2
0
0-0
67%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.6
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.9
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
38.2
37.5
19
50%
16
2
0
1
8
2
1
15
9-16
56%
5-12
8-13
42%
60%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
36.2
28.1
8
50%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
34.4
29.1
17
51%
8
1
0
1
1
0
5
3
5-6
83%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
2-6
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
31.9
30.2
18
70%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
2-5
40%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
28.0
25.6
19
71%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
23.4
8.0
8
37%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-9
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
23.0
26.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
16.1
14.9
11
67%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
8.8
2.4
2
50%
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
15.9
0
1-1
44%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.