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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies27%9294
2Thunder73%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
43.2
36.2
23
53%
8
2
1
1
0
3
5
3
4-4
100%
8-18
6-13
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
38.7
28.2
17
54%
6
3
0
2
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
38.3
37.5
24
82%
8
3
1
1
2
3
2
6
6-6
100%
9-12
5-11
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
37.9
37.7
11
38%
2
5
3
2
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
45%
2-5
40%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
13.2
17.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
30.5
27.3
13
34%
4
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
3-7
43%
5-11
3-7
45%
44%
0-5
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
25.3
20.5
2
20%
4
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
7.5
2.9
0
0%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
5.6
10.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
8.4
0
1-3
45%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.9
6.3
0
1-1
41%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
43.9
39.4
36
65%
10
3
2
1
3
3
1
9
7-8
88%
13-18
7-14
72%
51%
1-6
17%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
42.4
36.1
21
48%
2
7
0
2
1
5
2
0
8-9
89%
5-16
8-16
31%
46%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
31.9
22.6
5
36%
7
0
0
1
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
40%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
30.2
25.6
5
66%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
24.9
34.0
7
53%
7
0
1
1
3
3
2
5
3-6
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
34.2
34.8
24
81%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
4-6
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
20.0
19.3
1
57%
5
1
3
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
6.9
4.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
5.6
11.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
8.2
0
0-1
51%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.