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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic44%9385
14Pacers56%9581
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
41.0
37.6
27
66%
8
1
3
1
2
2
1
7
7-10
70%
10-16
7-13
63%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
39.1
30.9
12
73%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
37.6
30.7
3
30%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
32.9
30.8
9
32%
10
4
1
1
1
8
3
7
5-7
71%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-6
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
30.5
26.2
17
53%
6
5
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
48%
3-7
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
17.7
25.2
7
64%
4
2
0
0
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
15.9
14.1
2
20%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
13.2
11.0
8
57%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
6.3
15.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
5.8
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
38.8
31.4
10
38%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-3
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
37.5
36.8
19
48%
7
2
1
1
0
2
4
3
9-9
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
45%
2-9
22%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
36.4
31.0
13
49%
7
5
3
1
2
3
2
5
3-3
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
2-7
29%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
29.4
31.5
4
29%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
5-11
29%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.1
27.7
32.7
10
45%
5
0
0
1
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
20.3
21.8
17
54%
7
1
2
1
0
1
3
4
5-6
83%
6-13
3-7
46%
43%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
18.5
7.2
6
43%
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
11.4
14.7
2
25%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.4
10.7
9.2
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.3
9.3
10.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.8
12.3
0
1-2
49%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
4.4
0
0-1
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.