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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets31%9892
15Knicks69%10499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
44.2
37.3
21
51%
6
11
3
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
3-7
43%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
37.5
27.2
11
44%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-5
40%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
33.5
37.0
20
70%
12
2
2
1
4
1
4
8
10-12
83%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
30.4
27.1
6
60%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
2-5
40%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
21.0
22.1
0
0%
8
0
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
26.4
12.6
10
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
24.9
26.7
19
68%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
3-7
43%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 31.7
15.8
16.3
5
56%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
3.4
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
2.9
10.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
10.6
0
1-3
45%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
9.0
0
1-2
47%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
35.5
34.3
17
79%
9
2
0
1
1
2
2
7
3-4
75%
7-9
4-6
78%
64%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
35.1
35.6
11
33%
3
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-12
7-14
17%
49%
1-3
33%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
25.1
35.1
17
64%
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
5-5
100%
6-11
8-15
55%
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
25.1
34.9
2
20%
5
2
0
2
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
22.0
35.6
6
38%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
35.9
5.4
25
57%
5
7
2
0
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
10-15
1-1
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
31.3
19.4
9
43%
10
2
0
1
1
0
5
5
1-1
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
15.2
13.1
7
127%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-1
-
56%
1-1
100%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
13.1
15.9
5
46%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
1.9
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
4.1
0
0-0
45%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
3.4
0
0-0
50%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
2.1
0
0-1
53%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.