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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets58%9487
29Pistons42%9189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
41.6
30.9
26
89%
7
4
3
1
0
4
1
6
6-6
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
46%
2-3
67%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
36.7
27.0
14
54%
6
9
2
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
32.4
26.7
8
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
30.4
25.8
8
40%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
56%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
7.8
11.5
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
28.6
19.3
14
56%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
6-8
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
17.2
24.2
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
16.2
21.5
2
25%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
14.9
6.4
4
50%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
14.3
15.8
5
64%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
21.6
1
3-6
48%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
5.3
0
1-2
49%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
37.9
27.7
17
51%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
5-13
3-8
38%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
37.9
33.8
24
64%
16
2
1
1
0
5
6
10
4-4
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
35.3
32.2
11
39%
6
5
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
33.0
25.9
10
63%
5
2
1
1
1
2
4
1
0-2
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
5.2
34.7
2
35%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
4-9
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
32.9
18.2
9
44%
1
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-3
33%
4-8
1-4
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
19.7
17.8
4
34%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
18.2
21.1
11
55%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
13.5
13.8
1
57%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
6.3
8.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
9.2
0
1-2
45%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
3.9
0
1-1
46%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.