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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers53%9787
21Jazz47%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
37.9
35.9
26
61%
1
1
0
1
0
4
1
0
11-12
92%
3-10
8-17
30%
48%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
37.4
33.9
21
60%
12
1
1
1
2
2
4
8
5-8
63%
8-14
6-11
57%
55%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
36.3
35.1
24
52%
16
4
0
1
2
3
6
10
6-7
86%
9-20
6-12
45%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
29.4
26.7
2
17%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
21.9
28.2
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
19.4
17.4
5
42%
6
2
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
18.6
18.9
4
34%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
17.4
20.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
14.4
11.2
1
20%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
4.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
2.5
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.8
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
30.9
32.2
7
74%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
3-7
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
30.9
27.8
18
49%
13
2
0
1
2
0
4
9
2-3
67%
8-17
6-13
47%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
25.9
31.0
16
62%
13
4
1
1
2
3
6
7
2-2
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
22.9
8.7
5
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
45%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.9
21.6
19.4
1
7%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.6
26.4
15.2
8
100%
1
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
22.7
27.8
12
54%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
22.1
19.4
12
67%
8
0
0
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
19.4
19.1
7
35%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-9
3-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.7
17.1
14.7
10
56%
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.9
13.6
1
1-2
42%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.5
9.1
0
1-3
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
3.5
0
0-1
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.