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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats24%9189
22Suns76%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
41.4
31.7
22
62%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-11
4-10
27%
40%
4-5
80%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
39.0
14.8
21
63%
7
6
1
0
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
6-7
2-3
86%
49%
2-8
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
37.5
27.4
13
65%
3
3
1
1
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
3-5
60%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
36.0
12.8
11
80%
12
1
1
0
2
2
3
9
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.5
26.2
26.1
8
27%
13
0
0
1
1
2
2
11
2-2
100%
3-14
3-8
21%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
21.8
23.6
9
55%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.0
12.0
20.3
3
39%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
10.5
13.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
9.0
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
6.6
15.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
23.4
1
4-9
47%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
13.8
0
1-2
42%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
3.7
0
0-0
47%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
33.4
24.6
11
62%
3
10
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
28.4
34.0
12
47%
12
3
0
1
1
0
5
7
2-4
50%
5-11
7-12
45%
58%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
28.1
21.2
9
65%
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
23.2
5.5
17
66%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
4-7
57%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
21.3
21.6
6
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
26.8
17.1
11
36%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
3-5
60%
1-8
2-4
13%
48%
2-5
40%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
23.1
17.7
9
38%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-9
2-5
22%
48%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
19.6
7.6
13
64%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
5-5
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
17.9
16.0
7
70%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
61%
1-1
100%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
14.6
18.9
0
0%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
3.7
15.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
29.5
1
3-6
51%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
10.1
0
2-3
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.