Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	37%	99	97	105.4	92	103.7
	6	Trail Blazers	63%	103	117	124.5	94	85.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	36.3	20	63%	5	3	0	1	2	3	3	2	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	33.6	16	67%	12	1	1	0	1	2	4	8	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	32.1	16	53%	4	5	2	0	4	2	0	4	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	27.3	4	33%	2	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	20.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	23.4	9	50%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	22.4	9	64%	6	0	0	0	4	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	19.7	14	54%	5	2	2	1	1	0	1	4	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	13.8	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	4.7	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	3.3	3	150%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov #25 · C · 7'1" 275 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	42	17	8	3	17	0	12	30	22-24	92%	30-57	53%	5-22	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	36.3	20	63%	5	3	0	1	2	3	3	2	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	33.6	16	67%	12	1	1	0	1	2	4	8	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	32.1	16	53%	4	5	2	0	4	2	0	4	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	27.3	4	33%	2	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	20.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	23.4	9	50%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	22.4	9	64%	6	0	0	0	4	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	19.7	14	54%	5	2	2	1	1	0	1	4	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	13.8	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	4.7	4	67%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	3.3	3	150%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov #25 · C · 7'1" 275 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	42	17	8	3	17	0	12	30	22-24	92%	30-57	53%	5-22	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 27	40.6	29	76%	9	5	2	1	4	4	1	8	3-3	100%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 30	33.3	17	50%	5	4	1	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-6	17%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 25	29.7	11	69%	2	5	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 38	29.6	4	33%	20	2	2	2	2	3	7	13	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 28	23.5	6	50%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 32	30.4	8	57%	0	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'7" 230 · 23	24.7	33	83%	0	0	3	1	1	1	0	0	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	9-15	60%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 39	12.9	2	100%	3	2	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Craig Smith F · 6'7" 265 · 28	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Elliot Williams G · 6'5" 190 · 23	3.3	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Nolan Smith G · 6'2" 185 · 24	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 23	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 27	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Armon Johnson #1 · G · 6'3" 195 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	63%	41	30	11	5	14	0	10	31	10-12	83%	31-53	58%	15-33	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.07 53.3%

POR

1.26 62.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

37

59%

POR

18

29

62%

Midrange

DEN

8

20

40%

POR

13

24

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

5

7.5

22

23%

34%

POR

15

22.5

33

45%

68%

Free Throws

DEN

22

24

92%

POR

10

12

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Koufos	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Lawson	16	53%	8.0 / 15
C. Brewer	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Fernandez	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Harrington	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Nene	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Faried	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Hamilton	3	150%	1.5 / 1
A. Miller	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Afflalo	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Batum	33	83%	16.5 / 20
L. Aldridge	29	76%	14.5 / 19
G. Wallace	17	50%	8.5 / 17
W. Matthews	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Crawford	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Felton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Williams	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Camby	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Thomas	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 12 105.6	DEN 105.4 POR 124.5 +19.0
Pace	2 94.1 14 91.3	DEN 103.7 +18.5 POR 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 12 15.9	DEN 13.9 −3.0 POR 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 16 48.8%	DEN 47.5% POR 62.2% +14.7%
TO %	20 15.7% 14 15.0%	DEN 16.0% POR 13.3% −2.7%
ORB %	13 27.7% 21 26.3%	DEN 27.9% +2.9% POR 25.0%
FTrt	2 32.6 19 26.3	DEN 30.4 +16.4 POR 14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 21 56.2%	DEN 48.6% POR 65.2% +16.6%
STL %	15 8.6% 11 8.7%	DEN 8.7% POR 11.7% +3.0%
BLK %	16 8.1% 20 7.8%	DEN 5.7% POR 8.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 12 51.7%	DEN 53.3% POR 62.9% +9.6%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 24 56.2%	DEN 59.5% POR 62.1% +2.6%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 12 39.5%	DEN 40.0% POR 54.2% +14.2%
3P %	24 33.2% 14 34.6%	DEN 22.7% POR 45.5% +22.8%
FT %	24 73.6% 2 79.6%	DEN 91.7% +8.4% POR 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 14 36.5%	DEN 46.8% +13.1% POR 33.7%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 7 38.0%	DEN 25.3% −2.6% POR 27.9%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 8 25.5%	DEN 27.8% POR 38.4% +10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	92	94
Possession Minutes	21.3	26.5
Points	97	117
Rebounds	42	41
Assists	17	30
Steals	8	11
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	31 (2)
Field Goals	35-79	46-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-37	18-29
Midrange FG	8-20	13-24
2-Point FG	30-57	31-53
3-Point FG	5-22	15-33
Free Throws	22-24	10-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg