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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets37%9997
6Trail Blazers63%103117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
36.3
28.1
20
62%
5
3
0
1
1
2
3
2
5-5
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
33.6
12.1
16
67%
12
1
1
0
0
1
4
8
2-2
100%
7-11
2-3
64%
46%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
32.1
30.3
16
54%
4
5
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
51%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
27.3
29.1
4
34%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
20.2
28.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
23.4
20.5
9
51%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
22.4
29.1
9
65%
6
0
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.9
19.7
13.7
14
54%
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
6-7
86%
4-9
1-3
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
13.8
30.8
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
4.7
4.2
4
69%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
3.3
4.9
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
3.3
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
5.2
0
1-1
54%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
40.6
32.4
29
75%
9
5
2
1
1
4
1
8
3-3
100%
13-18
8-16
72%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
33.3
33.5
17
50%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
1-6
17%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
29.7
32.0
11
62%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
29.6
24.1
4
33%
20
2
2
1
2
2
7
13
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
23.5
31.2
6
47%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
30.4
24.3
8
54%
0
8
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
24.7
27.1
33
81%
0
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
9-15
60%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
12.9
16.1
2
100%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
3.3
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
3.3
8.0
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
3.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.8
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
2.8
2.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.