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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies43%8880
10Celtics57%9198
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
39.2
37.9
21
59%
7
3
1
1
1
1
3
4
4-4
100%
7-13
6-14
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
34.2
37.2
4
25%
3
4
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-10
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
34.0
37.2
7
22%
6
1
0
1
1
7
3
3
1-4
25%
3-14
5-10
21%
52%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
24.1
6.2
10
51%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
18.3
15.7
4
20%
4
2
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-10
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
27.6
28.0
15
60%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-8
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
25.2
21.6
10
56%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
15.2
9.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
11.2
4.5
9
85%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
3-3
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.9
5.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
5.1
2.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
30.9
2
4-9
48%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
34.6
24.0
5
36%
5
14
2
1
0
5
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
32.9
28.2
24
82%
9
2
1
1
0
2
0
9
5-6
83%
8-11
5-10
73%
50%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
31.1
35.1
21
64%
6
6
1
1
0
2
1
5
10-10
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
28.9
29.5
12
42%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
3-9
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
25.8
16.6
4
40%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
22.1
2.7
10
63%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
0-1
63%
46%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
20.1
18.4
6
60%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
16.6
23.9
2
33%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
11.6
15.5
12
102%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
9.3
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
3.6
11.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
3.5
3.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
28.7
0
5-10
49%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.