Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Raptors	12%	89	89	97.8	91	85.4
	1	Heat	88%	104	95	104.4	91	97.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 23	39.5	17	50%	3	3	2	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	4-8	50%
DeMar DeRozan F · 6'6" 220 · 22	37.2	25	60%	3	3	2	0	2	2	0	3	9-11	82%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 30	25.6	8	50%	0	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 25	18.5	4	50%	5	4	0	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 27	17.0	4	40%	3	0	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	30.1	8	80%	8	0	1	2	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 27	24.0	17	53%	5	1	0	0	4	3	2	3	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25	18.9	2	33%	6	0	0	0	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 29	12.3	2	13%	0	3	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 34	8.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 27	5.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 33	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Solomon Alabi #50 · C · 7'1" 252 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	50%	38	17	6	3	16	0	10	28	15-21	71%	28-57	49%	6-22	27%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 23	39.5	17	50%	3	3	2	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	4-8	50%
DeMar DeRozan F · 6'6" 220 · 22	37.2	25	60%	3	3	2	0	2	2	0	3	9-11	82%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 30	25.6	8	50%	0	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 25	18.5	4	50%	5	4	0	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 27	17.0	4	40%	3	0	1	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	30.1	8	80%	8	0	1	2	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 27	24.0	17	53%	5	1	0	0	4	3	2	3	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25	18.9	2	33%	6	0	0	0	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 29	12.3	2	13%	0	3	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 34	8.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 27	5.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 33	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Solomon Alabi #50 · C · 7'1" 252 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	50%	38	17	6	3	16	0	10	28	15-21	71%	28-57	49%	6-22	27%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 27	38.5	30	65%	9	2	1	0	5	1	0	9	10-12	83%	10-16	63%	0-1	0%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 28	37.3	12	38%	8	4	2	0	2	2	3	5	6-6	100%	3-13	23%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 30	33.6	25	63%	2	3	0	2	1	1	0	2	9-12	75%	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 26	26.9	11	79%	2	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 29	21.0	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 32	25.9	8	80%	9	0	1	0	2	4	1	8	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	22.1	3	30%	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 33	17.4	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 23	17.1	4	40%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 39	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eddy Curry C · 7'0" 295 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrel Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mickell Gladness #32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	36	15	8	2	14	0	4	32	29-34	85%	27-57	47%	4-12	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.00 50.0%

MIA

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

13

22

59%

MIA

17

29

59%

Midrange

TOR

15

35

43%

MIA

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

6

9.0

22

27%

41%

MIA

4

6.0

12

33%

50%

Free Throws

TOR

15

21

71%

MIA

29

34

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Bayless	17	50%	8.5 / 17
L. Kleiza	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Calderon	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Davis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Gray	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Barbosa	2	13%	1.0 / 8
G. Forbes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	65%	15.0 / 23
D. Wade	25	63%	12.5 / 20
C. Bosh	12	38%	6.0 / 16
M. Chalmers	11	79%	5.5 / 7
U. Haslem	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Cole	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Miller	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Anthony	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Battier	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 100.5 6 106.6	TOR 97.8 MIA 104.4 +6.6
Pace	25 89.6 15 91.3	TOR 85.4 MIA 97.4 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	1 16.6 15 15.8	TOR 16.9 MIA 14.8 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 47.5% 6 50.5%	TOR 46.8% MIA 47.8% +1.0%
TO %	26 16.1% 25 15.9%	TOR 15.3% MIA 14.3% −1.0%
ORB %	22 26.0% 19 26.6%	TOR 23.8% +11.3% MIA 12.5%
FTrt	16 27.4 5 30.7	TOR 26.6 MIA 49.3 +22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 60.9% 24 53.8%	TOR 50.0% +1.6% MIA 48.4%
STL %	26 7.2% 3 9.6%	TOR 6.6% MIA 8.8% +2.2%
BLK %	13 8.2% 4 9.0%	TOR 5.3% +1.8% MIA 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 4 53.5%	TOR 50.0% MIA 52.8% +2.8%
Rim FG%	11 59.1% 1 61.1%	TOR 59.1% +0.5% MIA 58.6%
Mid FG%	23 37.2% 10 40.0%	TOR 42.9% +7.2% MIA 35.7%
3P %	19 34.0% 10 35.9%	TOR 27.3% MIA 33.3% +6.0%
FT %	12 77.0% 8 77.5%	TOR 71.4% MIA 85.3% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 34.1% 12 36.7%	TOR 27.8% MIA 42.0% +14.2%
Mid Att. %	25 45.1% 21 43.6%	TOR 44.3% MIA 40.6% −3.7%
3P Att. %	19 20.9% 22 19.8%	TOR 27.8% +10.5% MIA 17.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	MIA
Possessions	91	91
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	89	95
Rebounds	38	36
Assists	17	15
Steals	6	8
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	4 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	32 (3)
Field Goals	34-79	31-69
At-the-Rim FG	13-22	17-29
Midrange FG	15-35	10-28
2-Point FG	28-57	27-57
3-Point FG	6-22	4-12
Free Throws	15-21	29-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg