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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors12%8989
1Heat88%10495
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
39.5
25.3
17
50%
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
42%
4-8
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
37.2
29.5
25
60%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
9-11
82%
8-15
5-11
53%
44%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
25.6
30.7
8
50%
0
3
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
18.5
23.1
4
50%
5
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
17.0
13.7
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
30.1
25.5
8
80%
8
0
1
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
24.0
20.7
17
54%
5
1
0
0
0
4
2
3
5-6
83%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
18.9
20.4
2
33%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
12.3
23.0
2
13%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
8.5
5.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
5.5
12.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
3.0
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
38.5
36.2
30
67%
9
2
1
2
0
5
0
9
10-12
83%
10-16
8-15
63%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.9
37.3
33.3
12
38%
8
4
2
1
0
2
3
5
6-6
100%
3-13
6-12
23%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
33.6
31.3
25
65%
2
3
0
1
2
1
0
2
9-12
75%
8-13
7-14
62%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
26.9
28.7
11
79%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
21.0
22.3
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
25.9
22.6
8
84%
9
0
1
0
0
2
1
8
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
22.1
18.1
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
17.4
21.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
17.1
17.9
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.3
0.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.9
3.0
0
0-1
53%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.2
1.9
0
0-1
54%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.