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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers45%9390
1176ers55%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
43.9
36.1
28
50%
5
6
2
1
0
5
3
2
4-4
100%
6-16
7-16
38%
47%
4-10
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
36.6
34.8
20
64%
20
3
0
1
3
5
8
12
4-6
67%
8-12
6-11
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
35.9
35.1
16
46%
11
2
0
0
1
1
6
5
6-8
75%
5-14
6-12
36%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
27.5
27.3
6
43%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
39%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
25.4
25.4
4
29%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
23.5
18.5
7
70%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
22.6
17.8
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
20.6
18.2
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
40%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
4.1
12.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
5.5
0
0-1
51%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
37.8
35.5
12
54%
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-5
20%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
36.0
31.8
13
54%
3
6
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
1-1
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
32.5
16.7
8
37%
5
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
23.4
24.2
9
90%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
3-5
60%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
14.1
16.9
4
40%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
25.1
27.3
24
77%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
3-6
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
24.9
11.4
8
40%
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
24.2
27.7
9
41%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
22.1
23.5
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
10.3
0
1-2
46%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.2
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.9
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.