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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz39%9788
17Knicks61%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
35.7
28.8
22
51%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
9-20
7-14
45%
49%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
34.1
31.3
14
57%
4
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
2-3
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
33.4
14.6
15
82%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.9
29.8
20.4
9
61%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-3
33%
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
29.0
29.1
9
38%
13
1
0
1
0
5
5
8
3-4
75%
3-10
6-12
30%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
19.0
20.2
8
43%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
18.3
19.4
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
14.6
25.5
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
13.9
19.3
9
58%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.7
12.3
15.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.9
8.8
0
1-1
41%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
6.2
0
1-2
43%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
2.7
0
0-1
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
44.9
14.8
28
67%
2
8
2
1
0
8
1
1
7-9
78%
9-14
2-4
64%
46%
1-3
33%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
43.4
31.0
6
38%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-2
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
33.9
22.8
13
49%
8
1
2
1
1
1
4
4
7-10
70%
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
22.5
34.1
10
59%
7
0
2
1
3
2
1
6
4-8
50%
3-5
4-6
60%
63%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
5.8
34.9
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
7-14
50%
47%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
32.0
31.3
8
37%
6
6
3
2
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
29.6
13.7
11
55%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
3-9
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
17.3
2.7
19
95%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
5-8
63%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
8.0
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
2.7
14.9
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
31.5
1
7-13
51%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
3.6
0
0-1
54%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
3.5
0
0-0
44%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.