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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings42%92100
25Hornets58%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
39.3
32.0
12
42%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
2-8
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.5
38.0
29.7
28
61%
19
0
1
1
3
2
6
13
6-7
86%
11-20
5-12
55%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
36.7
40.3
20
52%
5
4
1
2
0
4
1
4
6-7
86%
7-14
6-13
50%
46%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
28.5
34.1
10
56%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
17.2
32.2
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
4-9
100%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.0
26.4
16.9
17
67%
5
6
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
3-6
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
25.1
16.3
2
50%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.4
12.6
13.2
2
53%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
9.6
9.9
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
3.5
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.4
3.0
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.6
0.4
0
0-0
44%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
40.1
29.8
20
80%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
35.9
21.7
18
57%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
34.4
34.2
11
46%
6
4
2
2
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
32.3
15.1
4
33%
9
0
1
1
2
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
31.9
27.2
19
56%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
7-7
100%
6-14
4-7
43%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
22.3
5.0
10
36%
12
1
0
0
2
2
2
10
2-4
50%
4-12
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
13.6
22.3
2
33%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
10.5
4.1
8
54%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
4-7
0-1
57%
46%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
9.5
9.3
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
9.5
1.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
28.3
1
4-9
49%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
16.1
0
2-5
48%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
10.1
0
1-2
48%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.