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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets32%10099
4Nuggets68%10690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
35.9
28.8
25
54%
8
3
2
1
0
3
3
5
5-7
71%
10-20
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
33.1
33.1
20
84%
4
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
5-6
83%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
22.2
28.4
8
33%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-4
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
16.4
27.3
2
50%
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
7.0
20.6
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
32.0
25.0
10
56%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
27.4
22.7
4
25%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
26.9
16.0
16
67%
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
4-7
57%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.0
16.6
1.6
3
39%
9
1
0
0
2
0
0
9
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
14.8
19.6
9
77%
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
7.5
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
3.3
0
0-1
41%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
38.7
30.5
13
42%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
1-5
20%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
23.3
18.5
7
90%
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
20.8
4.0
2
20%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
20.4
30.2
14
58%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
18.4
4.3
6
52%
8
0
0
0
1
0
2
6
2-4
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
34.8
21.1
14
45%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-6
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
1-7
14%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
33.5
26.6
12
32%
15
0
1
1
0
4
4
11
2-6
33%
5-12
3-6
42%
52%
0-4
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
31.1
25.4
12
55%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
19.0
4.5
10
94%
9
0
0
0
2
2
2
7
2-3
67%
4-4
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
28.4
1
5-9
57%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
25.5
0
2-5
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
14.2
0
2-4
51%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.