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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Suns36%96107
20Bucks64%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
36.9
32.7
21
74%
9
2
1
1
0
4
5
4
5-5
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
35.3
28.8
18
69%
3
11
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
32.1
25.5
13
52%
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
28.2
23.9
19
96%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
3-4
75%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
27.6
23.5
14
58%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
2-6
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
20.5
20.2
2
14%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
19.8
14.4
14
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
45%
0-4
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
15.9
17.0
0
0%
12
3
0
1
0
0
5
7
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
11.1
12.2
6
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
10.4
16.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
2.3
8.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
13.4
1
2-4
44%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
5.7
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
29.0
27.4
25
57%
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
12-20
5-10
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
28.5
32.5
3
38%
5
4
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
15.9
22.4
7
58%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
15.2
24.4
7
66%
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
11.1
24.5
9
65%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
36.9
22.2
17
102%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
4-5
80%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
33.5
21.0
17
68%
12
1
0
1
2
1
3
9
8-8
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
30.0
9.0
12
51%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
18.8
16.9
6
50%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
13.5
9.7
2
20%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
5.5
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
2.1
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
4.8
0
0-1
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.