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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat83%104106
29Wizards17%9289
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.9
34.0
35.0
24
59%
11
3
1
1
1
1
3
8
4-5
80%
10-18
7-12
56%
52%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
33.3
37.2
18
53%
2
9
0
2
2
1
0
2
6-7
86%
6-12
9-15
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
31.3
33.7
26
66%
3
5
1
2
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
11-18
8-16
61%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
24.7
27.9
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-3
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
16.5
18.8
2
114%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
23.1
20.7
15
83%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
22.8
24.6
5
39%
12
2
0
1
1
2
1
11
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
21.3
21.2
8
46%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
17.6
19.6
6
75%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.9
11.4
5.5
2
100%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
2.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
2.0
1.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.2
1.3
0
0-0
54%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
39.3
33.1
13
47%
15
1
4
1
0
2
4
11
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
38.9
31.4
22
52%
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
5-5
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
44%
3-10
30%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
38.5
34.8
15
51%
1
10
0
1
0
7
0
1
3-4
75%
6-13
5-13
46%
43%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
35.3
22.2
24
57%
13
1
0
0
1
1
4
9
4-7
57%
10-18
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.2
17.4
19.0
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
27.8
22.7
6
20%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-6
33%
2-8
3-8
25%
41%
0-4
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
17.2
13.6
3
31%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
13.7
12.0
5
36%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.8
9.5
11.5
1
57%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
2.0
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
0.5
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
13.2
0
1-3
47%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
12.9
1
2-5
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.