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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks37%9189
10Magic63%9587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
47.1
36.1
23
47%
19
5
0
1
3
4
1
18
4-6
67%
8-20
6-13
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
42.8
30.0
9
58%
10
2
1
1
0
0
1
9
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
40.2
36.9
14
43%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
38.7
27.2
13
59%
0
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
35.4
24.6
13
67%
6
3
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
16.3
16.2
9
57%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
14.2
20.1
2
25%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
12.2
11.5
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
6.4
15.1
2
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
5.5
4.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
4.6
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
1.8
6.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
44.8
39.5
18
54%
18
0
0
1
1
5
2
16
2-4
50%
8-14
8-13
57%
58%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
40.5
31.5
21
73%
9
1
1
1
0
1
6
3
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
38.4
29.4
14
62%
5
0
1
1
2
0
0
5
1-3
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
37.4
28.3
15
38%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-14
3-5
43%
47%
1-6
17%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
34.9
28.1
10
56%
8
2
1
1
0
6
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-6
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
20.6
20.4
6
31%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
17.3
20.4
3
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
15.6
22.0
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
15.5
15.6
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
7.5
0
1-2
43%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
6.2
0
1-1
48%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
0.6
0
0-0
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.