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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets51%10092
28Pistons49%99109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
31.5
26.5
2
13%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
28.3
38.1
14
54%
1
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
6-7
86%
4-6
5-11
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
26.3
30.8
14
74%
1
3
1
1
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
3-3
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
25.1
35.4
5
25%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-9
5-10
22%
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
20.0
22.3
4
100%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
25.1
24.6
6
51%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
24.6
14.6
11
56%
5
0
2
0
1
0
3
2
3-4
75%
4-8
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
21.8
10.0
13
67%
4
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
20.1
10.2
16
68%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
17.3
9.0
7
42%
2
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
2-3
67%
1-6
1-3
17%
48%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 31.7
18.6
1
0-1
46%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
11.4
0
0-0
38%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
7.3
0
1-1
48%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
29.6
34.1
18
91%
11
2
2
1
1
3
5
6
2-2
100%
8-9
7-13
89%
55%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
28.1
33.3
8
33%
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-11
5-11
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
26.4
32.0
19
75%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
7-10
4-9
70%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
20.1
20.5
6
104%
5
1
1
1
4
3
3
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
16.6
30.5
13
78%
7
5
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-3
67%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
3-3
100%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
25.7
15.8
2
20%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
25.0
26.6
20
64%
4
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
5-6
83%
6-11
3-6
55%
54%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
22.6
16.6
14
64%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
18.9
13.0
2
14%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
14.4
10.5
4
52%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
5.7
3.7
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
3.9
1.8
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
2.9
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.