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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Trail Blazers73%9794
26Hornets27%8986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
41.3
35.3
14
65%
6
1
0
1
3
3
1
5
2-4
50%
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
37.8
37.1
14
58%
7
4
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
7-12
9-17
58%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
35.0
29.6
18
74%
1
6
1
1
0
5
1
0
5-5
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
31.0
32.8
4
33%
3
2
2
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
19.6
22.6
2
25%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
29.9
29.4
31
76%
2
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
9-10
90%
8-9
4-9
89%
45%
2-7
29%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
26.7
25.8
9
58%
5
2
5
1
2
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.4
14.1
15.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
4.6
3.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.3
7.0
0
1-2
55%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.1
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
46.4
34.9
23
56%
9
5
2
2
0
3
1
8
5-6
83%
9-15
4-9
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
38.5
30.3
13
43%
8
1
0
1
0
3
4
4
3-5
60%
5-13
4-8
38%
54%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
36.6
27.5
6
28%
3
7
5
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-5
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
32.6
27.9
12
55%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
27.4
19.6
2
20%
7
1
0
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
25.1
14.4
12
71%
5
0
1
1
0
2
4
1
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
1-1
100%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
13.8
11.6
4
42%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
11.4
1.4
7
60%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
0-0
60%
38%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
8.2
10.7
7
83%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
3-5
60%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
19.4
1
3-6
45%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
19.3
0
4-8
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
13.5
0
2-4
46%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
13.1
0
2-5
49%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.