Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Nuggets	49%	98	113	117.7	96	93.8
	16	Pacers	51%	99	109	112.4	97	101.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.0	27	68%	3	2	2	0	0	2	1	2	5-7	71%	8-14	57%	2-3	67%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	35.6	23	88%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	6-6	100%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	34.2	19	53%	5	1	2	0	3	4	2	3	2-4	50%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	26.1	7	70%	7	1	0	0	2	3	4	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	21.9	11	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-4	25%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	35.8	10	26%	6	1	1	2	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-12	33%	0-6	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	20.7	6	38%	3	4	2	1	3	4	1	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	18.0	7	70%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	11.7	3	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	39	14	8	4	12	0	14	25	22-33	67%	38-70	54%	5-17	29%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.0	27	68%	3	2	2	0	0	2	1	2	5-7	71%	8-14	57%	2-3	67%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	35.6	23	88%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	6-6	100%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	34.2	19	53%	5	1	2	0	3	4	2	3	2-4	50%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	26.1	7	70%	7	1	0	0	2	3	4	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	21.9	11	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-4	25%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	35.8	10	26%	6	1	1	2	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-12	33%	0-6	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	20.7	6	38%	3	4	2	1	3	4	1	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	18.0	7	70%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	11.7	3	50%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	39	14	8	4	12	0	14	25	22-33	67%	38-70	54%	5-17	29%

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16 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 29	35.3	26	65%	2	1	0	0	5	4	0	2	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 25	34.9	12	50%	5	4	0	2	2	4	2	3	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Paul George G · 6'8" 230 · 22	34.5	15	75%	6	1	1	0	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.0	22	92%	7	2	0	1	4	1	0	7	2-3	67%	10-11	91%	0-0	-
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 24	30.7	7	50%	1	7	0	1	3	4	0	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 26	17.6	6	75%	3	1	1	0	1	3	2	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 25	16.9	13	72%	0	2	2	1	3	3	0	0	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 21	14.0	4	33%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31	12.8	4	40%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 29	11.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Foster F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35	\| DND - Sore Lower Back
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 26	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	61%	31	22	6	5	20	0	6	25	17-22	77%	34-57	60%	8-22	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 54.9%

IND

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

27

48

56%

IND

17

27

63%

Midrange

DEN

11

22

50%

IND

17

30

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

IND

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

22

33

67%

IND

17

22

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Afflalo	23	88%	11.5 / 13
C. Brewer	19	53%	9.5 / 18
Nene	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Harrington	10	26%	5.0 / 19
K. Koufos	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Fernandez	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Miller	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Faried	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Granger	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. West	22	92%	11.0 / 12
P. George	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Price	13	72%	6.5 / 9
R. Hibbert	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Collison	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Hansbrough	6	75%	3.0 / 4
L. Stephenson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Jones	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Amundson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 8 106.4	DEN 117.7 +5.3 IND 112.4
Pace	2 94.1 17 91.1	DEN 93.8 IND 101.2 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 18 15.7	DEN 15.3 IND 14.2 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 23 47.4%	DEN 52.3% IND 58.2% +5.9%
TO %	20 15.7% 4 14.4%	DEN 10.6% −7.8% IND 18.4%
ORB %	13 27.7% 5 29.3%	DEN 35.9% +16.5% IND 19.4%
FTrt	2 32.6 3 32.1	DEN 37.9 +10.1 IND 27.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 28 52.2%	DEN 32.6% IND 52.4% +19.8%
STL %	15 8.6% 12 8.7%	DEN 8.3% +2.1% IND 6.2%
BLK %	16 8.1% 5 8.8%	DEN 7.0% IND 7.1% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 19 50.9%	DEN 54.9% IND 61.2% +6.3%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 29 53.6%	DEN 56.3% IND 63.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 19 38.3%	DEN 50.0% IND 56.7% +6.7%
3P %	24 33.2% 6 36.8%	DEN 29.4% IND 36.4% +7.0%
FT %	24 73.6% 3 78.3%	DEN 66.7% IND 77.3% +10.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 7 37.8%	DEN 55.2% +21.0% IND 34.2%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 17 42.4%	DEN 25.3% −12.7% IND 38.0%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 21 19.8%	DEN 19.5% IND 27.8% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	IND
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.0
Points	113	109
Rebounds	39	31
Assists	14	22
Steals	8	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	25 (4)
Field Goals	43-87	42-79
At-the-Rim FG	27-48	17-27
Midrange FG	11-22	17-30
2-Point FG	38-70	34-57
3-Point FG	5-17	8-22
Free Throws	22-33	17-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg