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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Trail Blazers39%9594
3Mavericks61%9997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
52.1
37.1
33
59%
12
1
1
1
0
1
6
6
5-5
100%
14-25
8-17
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
49.7
37.2
10
87%
10
1
4
1
1
2
2
8
4-4
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
39.1
31.4
9
26%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
3-11
3-6
27%
45%
1-6
17%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
33.4
31.9
9
40%
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
16.0
21.2
2
33%
6
0
1
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
42.6
29.2
19
37%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
44%
1-7
14%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
40.9
26.3
12
51%
7
3
1
1
3
2
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
50%
0-4
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.4
12.9
14.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
3.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.3
4.9
0
1-1
52%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
2.6
0
0-1
37%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.1
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.6
44.5
33.8
20
44%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
6-6
100%
7-17
6-12
41%
50%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
39.6
31.1
14
44%
12
2
0
1
0
3
4
8
4-4
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
37.6
18.3
7
61%
10
0
0
0
2
1
2
8
1-4
25%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
30.8
23.0
5
42%
8
8
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
1-5
20%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.0
21.5
25.0
7
44%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
42.0
30.7
19
71%
6
2
0
1
0
6
0
6
1-1
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
31.0
23.5
10
45%
2
4
4
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
22.6
16.7
10
85%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
2-2
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
14.2
14.2
3
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
6.2
16.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
13.5
1
2-4
48%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.