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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers69%9794
24Raptors31%9092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
39.2
35.0
14
50%
9
1
1
1
2
3
3
6
0-2
0%
7-13
6-11
54%
56%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
36.5
33.8
16
48%
17
6
0
1
0
3
5
12
4-4
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
34.4
39.0
27
51%
2
1
2
1
0
4
0
2
6-8
75%
6-16
9-17
38%
49%
3-7
43%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
26.6
21.4
9
92%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
19.4
23.9
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
28.6
25.8
7
51%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
20.0
21.9
6
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
18.9
19.8
4
34%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
16.3
10.8
7
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
0.0
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
3.6
0
0-1
55%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
37.1
35.2
8
26%
2
7
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
2-12
5-12
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
37.1
32.7
30
83%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
9-14
3-6
64%
49%
4-4
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
26.1
12.3
4
40%
7
0
3
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
25.4
25.9
7
39%
6
2
1
1
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
16.5
26.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
56%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
28.5
21.1
9
65%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
27.3
21.5
15
63%
4
3
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
1-5
20%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
16.1
19.2
12
47%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
14.9
5.3
4
41%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-2
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
10.8
6.3
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
0.0
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.