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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Bulls48%8991
7Celtics52%9095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
42.7
30.8
10
34%
5
4
1
1
1
2
1
4
4-6
67%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
42.2
24.3
22
43%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-6
50%
5-16
2-6
31%
42%
3-7
43%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
35.9
30.4
16
68%
9
1
1
1
0
1
4
5
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.2
34.8
25.5
22
62%
7
0
1
1
0
4
0
7
4-4
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.9
31.5
24.1
5
51%
3
6
4
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.9
18.8
26.7
3
30%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
12.9
18.9
3
22%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.2
11.6
11.3
8
44%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.6
9.7
15.3
2
33%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
17.3
0
3-7
49%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.4
11.8
0
1-2
46%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.0
9.0
0
1-3
44%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
4.4
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
39.9
36.4
32
58%
10
15
2
2
0
5
2
8
10-13
77%
11-20
4-9
55%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
36.6
36.2
9
45%
1
2
4
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
35.4
31.4
11
51%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
28.7
28.9
13
67%
12
3
0
1
4
3
0
12
3-4
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
26.3
15.9
11
75%
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
1-3
33%
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
33.1
5.6
12
46%
4
1
2
0
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
6-13
1-2
46%
45%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
18.6
20.3
3
80%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
8.6
8.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
8.1
11.3
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
4.8
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
8.0
0
0-1
42%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
6.3
0
1-2
46%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
5.2
0
0-1
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.