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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat55%96107
13Hawks45%9487
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.9
31.6
34.1
14
39%
16
1
0
1
2
1
6
10
6-9
67%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
30.4
35.3
23
57%
13
6
1
1
0
2
3
10
10-12
83%
5-12
7-14
42%
53%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
26.9
26.6
15
101%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
2-2
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
23.9
32.6
21
61%
5
3
2
1
1
0
2
3
7-7
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
18.5
18.0
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
24.1
21.3
7
88%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
21.1
23.9
4
40%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
21.1
20.9
10
42%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
20.9
18.7
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.9
6.5
7.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
6.1
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
6.1
1.3
4
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.2
2.8
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
34.2
38.1
8
33%
7
7
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-11
7-14
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
30.3
33.2
8
100%
9
2
1
1
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
29.6
36.2
12
43%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
19.9
30.1
6
43%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
17.9
27.5
6
33%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
25.9
11.2
17
71%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
46%
3-3
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
19.4
16.9
6
36%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-4
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
15.0
8.0
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-3
67%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
13.1
4.4
3
38%
2
5
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
10.1
11.3
6
44%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
9.7
15.2
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
8.6
1.7
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-7
0-0
29%
41%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
6.1
4.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.