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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Rockets48%10297
19Warriors52%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
34.7
19.1
28
69%
6
2
1
1
1
4
1
5
9-10
90%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
5-11
45%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
34.5
28.0
10
41%
3
9
4
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
32.5
26.7
14
74%
13
3
0
1
0
3
2
11
8-8
100%
3-6
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
22.4
25.3
11
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
20.5
16.7
5
51%
7
2
1
0
3
1
4
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
29.1
27.2
11
51%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
23.5
23.9
9
46%
7
0
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
20.9
25.7
7
44%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
13.5
22.4
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
8.5
17.1
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
2.8
0
0-1
41%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
42.9
35.3
15
60%
13
6
0
1
1
6
3
10
1-1
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
52%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
40.9
35.2
33
61%
5
7
2
2
1
2
1
4
6-9
67%
12-20
6-13
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
34.1
34.9
14
48%
0
5
2
2
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
17.8
30.0
8
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
10.6
19.8
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
31.6
19.6
7
49%
6
0
1
1
1
2
0
6
3-5
60%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
21.9
21.9
10
85%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
21.6
14.4
14
70%
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
4-6
67%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
13.9
10.6
3
30%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
4.2
3.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
0.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
5.6
0
0-1
41%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.