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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz51%9580
24Hornets49%9486
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
31.3
31.9
8
58%
1
2
0
1
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
25.7
32.2
14
47%
12
1
2
1
2
0
4
8
2-2
100%
6-13
8-15
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
22.2
32.5
4
22%
5
1
2
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-9
6-12
22%
52%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
21.4
25.2
11
92%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
19.1
26.2
2
25%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
28.9
19.7
7
88%
2
5
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
25.8
16.2
14
59%
5
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
2-2
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.7
22.1
13.2
6
38%
12
0
1
0
1
0
5
7
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
17.0
17.8
5
25%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
13.6
4.2
9
61%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
7-10
70%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
12.9
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
3.0
0
0-0
41%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
1.5
0
0-0
56%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
41.5
12.8
27
57%
13
2
2
0
1
3
6
7
3-4
75%
12-22
3-5
55%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
38.3
30.6
12
44%
4
10
3
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
1-2
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
35.8
22.2
13
82%
9
1
1
1
3
0
3
6
1-2
50%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
34.0
29.3
13
42%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
32.6
38.7
9
51%
5
5
2
2
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
24.7
18.6
4
38%
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
14.0
12.3
4
33%
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-7
29%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
11.4
9.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
7.6
5.7
2
25%
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
33.0
1
5-9
55%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
14.2
0
2-4
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
10.5
0
2-3
48%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
9.6
0
2-3
51%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.