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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Clippers35%9492
3Mavericks65%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.9
39.5
34.4
20
48%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
2-9
22%
9-17
7-15
53%
50%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
35.1
27.9
23
58%
8
1
1
1
0
4
1
7
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
5-10
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.8
32.1
33.1
16
68%
5
9
2
2
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.4
25.6
23.8
3
17%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
0-4
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
20.4
24.4
5
64%
9
0
0
0
2
0
3
6
1-2
50%
2-3
3-4
67%
63%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.2
38.3
27.5
11
55%
4
3
2
1
0
4
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
3-7
43%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.1
26.3
18.4
10
71%
3
1
0
1
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.7
16.1
15.1
2
114%
9
3
0
1
0
0
1
8
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
6.7
14.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.2
5.3
0
0-1
44%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
4.3
0
1-1
44%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.2
3.6
0
0-1
39%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.9
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
31.9
34.3
22
51%
7
2
2
1
0
1
0
7
11-15
73%
4-12
6-12
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
31.3
31.2
16
54%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
29.1
22.7
10
68%
9
1
1
0
0
0
5
4
0-3
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
25.6
23.6
3
38%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.0
25.4
21.9
10
56%
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
31.9
31.8
9
38%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
24.9
23.8
10
56%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
21.2
17.2
9
51%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
11.7
11.8
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
7.0
13.3
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
10.3
0
1-3
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.