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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Knicks63%9790
24Raptors37%9387
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
43.2
33.1
27
54%
2
11
1
2
0
8
0
2
7-11
64%
7-18
5-11
39%
47%
2-2
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
37.1
33.7
8
40%
7
7
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
56%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
33.6
11.4
21
43%
9
1
0
0
0
0
3
6
5-5
100%
8-22
2-5
36%
51%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
30.1
24.3
8
50%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
2-7
29%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.4
28.0
34.4
13
85%
9
0
0
1
2
2
3
6
3-6
50%
5-5
4-7
100%
63%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
27.4
29.3
8
39%
2
3
4
2
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
19.4
22.4
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
18.8
28.5
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
2.4
11.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
11.1
0
2-4
47%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
5.2
0
1-1
45%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
2.0
0
0-0
54%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
41.9
35.4
14
51%
4
2
0
1
1
6
1
3
4-4
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
38.7
34.0
25
74%
7
9
3
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
31.8
22.4
10
63%
4
2
0
1
5
1
0
4
0-2
0%
5-7
3-5
71%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
16.8
25.3
6
75%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
12.7
17.7
0
0%
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
37.6
23.4
15
48%
11
3
2
0
0
2
4
7
2-6
33%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
1-6
17%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
31.1
17.8
13
45%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
20.2
23.8
4
40%
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
9.3
7.9
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
0.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
9.2
0
1-1
46%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.