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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat56%98105
19Pacers44%9690
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
33.4
32.9
23
62%
9
7
4
1
0
2
2
7
7-8
88%
5-10
7-14
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
28.0
18.0
7
93%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.9
26.4
31.8
13
52%
7
1
1
1
0
3
2
5
7-8
88%
3-9
6-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
24.1
28.9
16
58%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
17.5
25.3
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
30.3
22.5
20
75%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
42%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
23.4
21.0
8
103%
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
20.1
24.2
7
45%
9
0
0
0
0
1
1
8
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
15.2
20.5
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
6.7
4.8
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
6.0
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
5.3
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.2
3.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
33.7
31.7
12
44%
3
2
2
1
0
6
0
3
2-4
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
29.2
33.6
8
36%
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.2
29.0
32.6
10
42%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
25.2
30.5
14
54%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
11.6
34.3
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-10
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
30.7
14.4
10
63%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.4
19.7
13.2
6
36%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
19.5
18.9
11
84%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
7-8
88%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
19.0
12.5
12
72%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
8.9
8.4
4
69%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
8.0
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
5.3
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.8
6.6
0
1-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.